天津市雨洪水资源化利用的探讨和研究

根据天津市水资源现状及雨洪水调度的优势 ,提出天津市各河系雨洪水调度方案及其成果显示     

基于期权理论的铁路货运定价模型

为了规避铁路运输企业和协议客户在市场价格波动情况下所面临的风险,在铁路货运的定价过程中引入期权的概念,利用二叉树模型为期权定价,在此基础上构建了基于铁路运输企业和协议客户收益最大条件下的铁路货运定价模型。研究结果表明:通过铁路运输企业和协议客户的最优定价决策可以求得铁路运输企业制定的协议价格和协议客户的期权购买量;协议价格与现货市场价格正相关,与铁路运输企业的长期准备成本正相关、短期准备成本负相关;随着期权价格和期权执行价格的升高,协议客户在契约市场所购买的期权数量逐渐减少。     

基于移动闭塞系统的信号机显示方案分析

地铁移动闭塞信号系统中,由于存在后备模式,地面信号机存在点灯与灭灯2种方案,2种方案各有优劣,通过分析对比,推荐采用亮灯方案。     

超大型预制桥墩吊装过程数值计算

以某跨海工程超大型预制桥墩吊装方案为例,基于有限元分析软件ANSYS建立超大型预制桥墩的数值模型,施加重力场模拟吊装过程,得到了吊装过程中桥墩的受力状态,评定了吊装方案的优劣。针对吊装过程中桥墩及吊装件较危险的受力区域进行分析,提出了优化建议。     

A trial application of FSA methodology to the hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers

Formal safety assessment (FSA) is a formal, structured and systematic methodology, aimed at enhancing maritime safety, including protection of life, property and marine environment, by using risk and cost–benefit assessments. For the application of this methodology to the rule-making process, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) presented the Interim Guidelines, which describe procedures of FSA and inputs/outputs of each procedure in detail. This paper basically deals with an application of FSA methodology according to the IMO's Interim Guidelines to the hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers, which was carried out as a cooperative research between Korean Register of Shipping and Seoul National University. As results of this application study, 18 hazards are identified and 32 risk control measures are devised to reduce the associated risks. Potential risks, costs and benefits when some Risk Control Options are introduced are evaluated in monetary unit of US $. Finally, some discussions and recommendations based on experiences are also given for both future work and better application of this FSA methodology to the rule-making process.     

The value of options for time charterparty extension: an artificial neural networks (ANN) approach

The most frequently associated options in the physical shipping market are options to extend the charter period on time charters and additional shipment options on contracts of affreightment. The value of freight options, in practice, is estimated mostly by referring to forward curves. An option on freight has different properties from its financial counterparts, and the straightforward adoption of theoretical models does not produce promising results. In this paper, extension options, which have the property of options on futures, were transformed into regular European options before the application of the Black-Scholes model (BSM). The efficient market hypothesis, which justifies the parity of the performance of a long-term charter to that of repetitive short-term charters, worked as the basis for the transformation. The option values determined by the BSM were compared with actual realized values. Additionally, the artificial neural networks (ANN) was employed to derive the option values. This study is meaningful as the first-time application of both the closed-form solution and the ANN to the valuation of physical freight options. The research results can contribute to the quality of chartering decisions. The results could also be used in quantifying credit risk, as extension options tend to be granted to charterers with more creditability.     

珠江口海底隧道盾构法施工方案可行性分析

盾构法已经在国内外的地下工程中被广泛运用,特别是国外一些著名的海底盾构隧道,如英吉利海峡隧道、日本东京湾海底公路隧道、荷兰W esterschelde隧道;国内盾构技术也发展迅速,先后建成上海大连路、复兴东路过江盾构隧道,还有在建的上海翔殷路越江公路隧道、上中路隧道和已经开工建设的武汉、南京、上海长江桥隧工程等。这些海底、江底隧道的修建为盾构隧道的发展积累了丰富的经验。文章首先论述了国内外大直径、高水压、长距离推进等盾构施工关键技术,并结合珠江口海底隧道的建设条件与国内外的施工成功实例,对海底隧道盾构法施工方案的可行性进行了初步研究。     

临海灵江二桥桥面病害分析及修复方案

对旧桥桥面病害产生的原因进行分析,提出了桥面病害修复的新办法、新工艺,供桥梁养护及新建项目施工参考。     

随机利率下的外汇欧式期权定价

在随机利率情况下,利用鞅方法研究了外汇欧式期权的定价问题,得到了欧式期权(看涨和看跌)价格的解析表达式,及其评价关系.文中考虑了期权的对冲问题及本国和外国利率波动的非零相关性,本国和外国利率波动对汇率波动的影响.     

双层带式输送机系统在散货码头上的应用

某些散货码头项目中,码头位置距离后方陆域较远,需要利用长距离带式输送机将物料从码头输送到后方。针对常规的水平运输方案会造成水工引桥宽度大、造价高的问题,探讨如何优化带式输送机布置形式,减少整个码头的建设成本。采用下层普通带式输送机和上层管状带式输送机的双层设计方案,在保证不同性质物料有效输送的前提下,可有效减小引桥宽度。实际运营检验证明双层带式输送机系统可安全可靠运行。