基于灰色关联度的船舶风险控制方案多指标评价模型

分析了仅依靠成本效益评估而选择的船舶风险控制方案的片面性,综合考虑安全、环保、经济收益、成本等多因素对方案所表现的影响,建立了基于灰色关联度的船舶风险控制方案多指标评价模型。论文所建立的该模型可以充分利用各方案的指标取值所包含的信息,并考虑专家主观因素对指标重要度的影响,通过主客观综合赋权的方法突出某个指标在方案排序中的作用。以国际海事组织对液化天然气船的综合安全评估报告所提供的风险控制措施为例,使用该模型进行方案优选,并与仅用成本效益评估所得结果比较;分析比较表明:论文所建立的多指标评价模型可以更全面评估风险控制方案,方法合理,使用简便可靠。     

基于模糊相似度的群决策方案排序

为解决排序方案多属性特征、决策者对事物认识的局限性以及决策群体中各个体间的矛盾性导致的决策方案排序困难的问题,引入模糊相似度概念,以测度决策专家的偏好差异,用有序加权平均算子集结群体意见,通过与虚拟正、负理想方案比较,实现决策方案排序,并介绍了决策实施步骤.     

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既有文献中关于求解模糊交通问题（所有参数均为模糊数据）的模糊最优解的方法有多种。本文在分析现有方法缺点的基础上,提出了两种方法用于求解具有梯形模糊数的模糊交通问题,其基于模糊线性规划和经典交通方法。同时论证了这两种方法不同于现有方法的优势。通过算例阐述本文方法求解模糊交通问题的过程并分析了求解结果。所提出的方法易于理解且在求解模糊交通问题最优解问题上具有良好的应用前景。     

A practical assessment of stated preferences methods

Stated preferences data in the form of rankings, ratings and choices were collected in Santiago and discrete choice models estimated with them. The models were compared in terms of accuracy v/s the cost of obtaining the information and models. All methods produced reasonable but different models and fairly close subjective values of time. In terms of production costs the ranking method was a clear looser although the experimental design was slightly biased against it. Finally, the use of computerised interviews is highly recommended particularly for dealing with low income people.     

基于数理统计的区域公路旅客运输调查指标重要性排序

针对我国公路运输量调查统计指标单一的现状,采用数理统计方法对调查数据服务主体的需求情况进行定量分析.从实物量指标、价值量指标、运输效率指标以及燃油消耗指标4方面提出区域公路旅客运输调查指标体系的主体框架;通过分析需求调查的有效样本,建立区域公路旅客运输调查指标重要性排序的数理统计模型;基于数理统计方法对公路运输量调查指标进行排序.研究结果表明,需求调查结果可靠,不同用户对区域公路旅客运输统计指标需求强烈.     

Application of interval Multi-attribute Decision-Making Method to Aeroengine Performance Ranking

Introduction The performance deterioration of aeroengine isone of the key factors which may induce aircraft cata-strophic events. With the expansion of airline fleets,the number of aeroengines increase dramatically.Because performance parameters can refle…     

A NEW TECHNIQUE FOR COMPAIRING FUZZY NUMBERS USING AN INDEX OF OPTIMISM

IntroductionFuzzy numbers,or fuzzy subsets of the realline R,are a convenientconceptfor the representa-tion and arithmetic manipulation of imprecise nu-merical quantities[1,2 ] .In applications,the problemof comparison or ranking fuzzy numbers arises nat-urally.For example,in a fuzzy decision- analysiscontext[3 ] ,comparison of fuzzy expected utilitieslooms imminent.Many methods for comparing two or morefuzzy numbers have been suggested in the litera-ture as surveyed in Ref.[4]. Generally,th…     

Daily Generation Strategies with Consideration of Electricity Contract and Spinning Reserve

When programming the daily generation strategies, power plants consider not only the competitive bids in spot market and the original purchase contracts with distribution companies or users, but also the spinning reserve. Aiming at this goal, the paper puts forward a daily generating model, which is a nonlinear programming model containing integral and continous variables, to coordinate the power volumes of competitive bids, contract and the spinning reserve of power plants and thus to maximize their profits. Then, the model is simplified to ease its solving process, and solved by priority ranking method based on efficiency and quadratic programming. The simulation result of a case study shows that the proposed scheme is reasonable and practicable.     

改进AHP和灰色聚类在装备战损排序中的应用

针对武器装备系统战损的抢修排序问题,应用改进层次分析法（AHP）确定指标权重的同时,并提出了战损装备抢修排序的递阶层次结构模型;然后运用灰色聚类方法,构造评价函数,综合决策战损装备抢修排序。通过实例验证,将改进AHP与灰色聚类方法相结合,取得了较为满意的结果,为战场指挥员抢修决策提供帮助。     

肋骨许用应力对环肋圆柱壳结构设计的影响

[目的]旨在研究不同肋骨的许用应力对圆柱壳结构设计的影响.[方法]采用全因子试验设计和信息熵方法,建立基于综合裕度的环肋圆柱壳多目标优化模型,并利用宽容度排序法对建立的多目标优化模型进行优化求解,以及通过改变肋骨许用应力安全系数,分析肋骨许用应力对圆柱壳各属性均匀度的影响.[结果]结果表明,圆柱壳肋骨应力为主要设计约束...