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城市综合体作为一种高度复合的新型开发模式,通过改变社区建成环境,对居民日常活动产生了潜移默化的影响.本文从交通规划者视角,对城市综合体产生的社区居民出行行为影响进行了研究.基于问卷调查数据,通过倾向得分匹配预处理,弱化个人信息对于出行特征分析的干扰,以有城市综合体的社区居民自陈述的出行变化作拟纵向分析,初步把握城市综合体对社区居民出行特征产生的影响趋势.而后对有无城市综合体两类社区居民的出行数据进行对比分析.结果显示,城市综合体开发模式可有效促进居民产生更多的短距离慢行出行替代机动化长距离出行以满足弹性需求.本研究可为城市综合体区别于传统单一用地开发模式的交通系统配置提供方向指导. 相似文献
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Finding time‐robust fuel‐efficient paths for a call‐taxi in a stochastic city road network
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Intra‐city commuting is being revolutionized by call‐taxi services in many developing countries such as India. A customer requests a taxi via phone, and it arrives at the right time and at the right location for the pick‐up. This mode of intra‐city travel has become one of the most reliable and convenient modes of transportation for customers traveling for business and non‐business purposes. The increased number of vehicles on city roads and raising fuel costs has prompted a new type of transportation logistics problem of finding a fuel‐efficient and quickest path for a call‐taxi through a city road network, where the travel times are stochastic. The stochastic travel time of the road network is induced by obstacles such as the traffic signals and intersections. The delay and additional fuel consumption at each of these obstacles are calculated that are later imputed to the total travel time and fuel consumption of a path. A Monte‐Carlo simulation‐based approach is proposed to identify unique fuel‐efficient paths between two locations in a city road network where each obstacle has a delay distribution. A multi‐criteria score is then assigned to each unique path based on the probability that the path is fuel efficient, the average travel time of the path and the coefficient of variation of the travel times of the path. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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传统的物流外包决策方法忽略了物流服务交易市场中供需双方之间的消费偏好不相同,决策目标不一致,彼此信息不对称等客观因素.文中将多属性第一评分逆向拍卖模型引入物流服务交易机制设计中,扩展了物流服务投标者的成本函数类型,分析了其均衡策略,并给出了物流服务需求方的期望效用. 相似文献
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陈家润 《湖北汽车工业学院学报》2006,20(4):59-62
通过对平衡积分卡的理论介绍,提出了在实践中应用平衡积分卡应注意的几个问题,从而得出这种方法应该在我国企业绩效管理中得到更加广泛应用的结论。 相似文献
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We investigate the impact of the commencement of high-speed rail (HSR) services on airlines’ domestic available seats on affected routes in China, Japan, and South Korea. The study is based on a dataset covering the 1994–2012 period. We use the propensity score matching method to pair HSR affected routes with routes without HSR services. The difference-in-difference approach is used to estimate the impact of HSR entry. We find that HSR entries may, on average, lead to a more significant drop in airlines’ seat capacity in China than in Japan and Korea given similar HSR service speed. In China, HSR services with a maximum speed about 200 km/h can produce strong negative impacts on medium-haul air routes but induce more air seat capacity on long-haul routes. HSR services with a maximum speed of 300 km/h have little extra impact on medium-haul routes but a strong negative impact on long-haul routes. Finally, although HSR has a strong negative impact in Japan’s short-haul and medium-haul air markets, little impact is observed in its long-haul markets. 相似文献
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在车险定价模型已改进、汽车碰撞测试结果已发布的背景下,研究不同模型以及纳入模型中解释变量的组合方式对索赔次数预测效果的影响。由于广义线性模型(Generalized Linear Models,GLM)存在局限性,仅包括线性预测部份,对连续型变量解释性较差,所以采用了广义线性可加模型(Generalized Linear Additive Models ,GAM)对车险数据进行拟合,同时研究中国保险汽车安全指数 (China Insurance Automotive Safety Index,C-IASI) 指标的3种不同风险因子组合方式对模型效果的影响。结果表明,广义线性可加模型对车险索赔次数的拟合效果优于广义线性模型;维修经济性得分与耐撞性得分作为自变量时的拟合效果优于其他组合。 相似文献
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目的比较生发中心型(GCB)与非生发中心型(non-GCB)弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)发病特点和预后因素,为临床分层诊治和评估预后提供依据。方法回顾性分析西安交通大学医学院第一附属医院血液内科2010年3月至2013年12月期间收治并在病理科经组织学和免疫组化确诊的DLBCL患者168例,按照Hams分型标准,分为GCB和non-GCB两类,比较两组的临床特点、组织学分类;整理追踪其中45例non-GCB和25例GCB患者,分析其发病时临床分期、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、Ki67指数与国际预后指数(international prognostic index,IPI)评分关系。结果临床特点为:168例DLBCL患者中non-GCB型126例、GCB型42例,non-GCB型与GCB型在发病年龄和男女比例差异均无统计学意义(P值分别为0.085、0.157);组织学分类为non-GCB型中60例发生于淋巴结节内,66例发生于结外,其中胃肠道25例;GCB型中15例发生于淋巴结节内,27例发生于结外,其中胃肠道15例;GCB型中原发于胃肠道占35.7%,而non-GCB型原发于胃肠道占19.8%,GCB型中原发于胃肠道明显高于non-GCB型(P=0.036);预后分析显示non-GCB型和GCB型弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤中,起病时临床分期、LDH水平以及60岁以上(包括60岁)和以下组间差异无统计学意义(P值分别为0.775、0.414、0.863)。而non-GCB型患者IPI评分值(3-5)、Ki67(≥80%)均高于GCB型,具有统计学意义(P值分别为0.031、0.026)。结论 DLBCL中non-GCB型比GCB型更常见,nonGCB型与GCB型发病年龄、男女比例无显著差异;GCB型中原发于胃肠道明显高于non-GCB型;起病时临床分期、LDH水平、以及60岁以上(包括60岁)和以下组在non-GCB型和GCB型中无明显差异,而non-GCB型患者IPI评分值(3-5)、Ki67(≥80%)均高于GCB型,提示non-GCB型DLBCL预后较差,在选择化疗方案时应以二线方案为主。 相似文献
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高校学生成绩数据量庞大,数据类型也不尽相同。做好学生成绩数据的整理,并对之进行有效的统计分析,为教学管理部门提供科学的决策依据是一个值得研究的问题。本文以某高校学生成绩数据库为例,介绍了异构数据库数据导入导出、数据库数据规范化等预处理方法,给出了用于成绩分析的若干统计指标的计算实例。 相似文献