海事赔偿责任限制的法律适用

由于各国关于海事赔偿责任限制的法律规定不一样,因此,在涉外海事赔偿责任限制法律关系中就需要进行法律选择,以确定所应适用的法律。国际社会关于海事赔偿责任限制的法律适用主要有适用法院地法、适用侵权行为地法、适用船旗国法、适用最密切联系原则几种立法模式,中国《海商法》关于海事赔偿责任限制的法律适用宜规定为:海事赔偿责任限制适用船旗国法,若海事赔偿责任限制与其他国家的法律有更密切联系,则适用其他国家的法律。     

文明的冲突与融合

亨廷顿在<文明的冲突>里提出了新时期文明的冲突将成为未来世界冲突的主题.这一断言遭致各国学者的反对.反对者有两种论调:或者认为文明没有冲突只有融合,或者认为文明只有冲突且不可融合.这里从这两种论调出发阐释不同的看法,即文明不仅是冲突的,亦是可融合的.     

交通冲突技术在ETC安全评价中的应用研究

由于数据缺乏,国内外有关ETC对交通安全影响的评价研究开展甚少。ETC系统对交通安全究竟会产生怎样的影响,如何进行分析评价,是一个全新的课题。作者参考了其它交通设施的安全评价方法并结合我国交通安全管理的实际情况,得出了仅运用事故统计数据模型来评价ETC对收费区安全水平的影响是欠可靠的这一结论,确定采用以非事故间接评价方法暨交通冲突技术对ETC安全进行评价。本文旨在确立ETC系统的安全评价方法并搭建其评价框架,着重探讨了如何在收费区引入交通冲突技术。     

内燃机活塞-缸套-活塞环系统工作状态的识别方法

提出了一种基于证据理论方法的内燃机活塞—缸套—活塞环系统工作状态的识别方法。通过搭建试验台架,从实车试验中获取曲轴箱压力信号和机身振动加速度信号;提取试验特征值,组建模型样本和试验样本,并运用证据理论信息融合方法对内燃机的工作状态进行识别。研究结果表明:应用证据理论信息融合方法融合曲轴箱压力信号和机身振动加速度信号,进而识别活塞—缸套—活塞环系统的工作状态这一方法有效、可行。     

D-S证据理论在多传感器融合中的应用

详细介绍了Dempster-Shafer证据理论,介绍了它在多传感器融合(MSF)中的应用,并举了一个具体的例子,实验结果验证了其有效性。     

Large-scale evacuation network optimization: a bi-level control method with uncertain arterial demand

To improve the efficiency of large-scale evacuations, a network aggregation method and a bi-level optimization control method are proposed in this paper. The network aggregation method indicates the uncertain evacuation demand on the arterial sub-network and balances accuracy and efficiency by refining local road sub-networks. The bi-level optimization control method is developed to reconfigure the aggregated network from both supply and demand sides with contraflow and conflict elimination. The main purpose of this control method is to make the arterial sub-network to be served without congestion and interruption. Then, a corresponding bi-objective network flow model is presented in a static manner for an oversaturated network, and a Genetic Algorithm-based solution method is used to solve the evacuation problem. The numerical results from optimizing a city-scale evacuation network for a super typhoon justify the validity and usefulness of the network aggregation and optimization control methods.     

东风商用车营销渠道冲突及对策研究

对东风商用车的营销渠道现状进行了分析,针对目前渠道冲突的形式,运用渠道冲突理论,提出了解决的对策。     

基于层次分析法和D-S证据理论的码头风险评估

在码头风险评估过程中,目前常用的方法对风险事件发生的概率和影响上有一些主观的定性分析,带有结论上的模糊性.运用一种层次分析法和证据理论结合的方法可以提高评估的准确性和可靠度,该方法通过层次分析法确定各评估因素的权重,在此过程中用D-S证据理论对专家评分数据进行融合修正,运用D-S证据理论的合成法则确定码头的风险值.将该...     

Probabilistic multi-aircraft conflict detection approach for trajectory-based operation

Conflict detection (CD) is one of the key functions used to ensure air transport safety and efficiency. In trajectory-based operation (TBO), aircraft are provided with more flexibility in en route trajectory planning and more responsibility for self-separation. The high flexibility in trajectory planning enables random changes in pilot intent, thus increasing the uncertainty in trajectory prediction and CD. This study proposes a novel probabilistic CD approach for TBO in which the uncertainty of pilot intent is taken into account by quantifying the aircraft reachable domain constrained by the flight plan. First, a probabilistic model for aircraft trajectory prediction is developed using the truncated Brownian bridge method. Based on this model, a novel conflict probability estimation method is developed. Finally, the performance of the proposed probabilistic CD approach is demonstrated through an illustrative air traffic scenario.