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ABSTRACTThe economic history of the U.S. illustrates how the role of many cities has been changed by being seaports or located on navigable rivers or lakes. Based on the widening of the Panama Canal in 2016, the West Coast ports that include the west coast seaports of California, Oregon, and Washington were expected to become less important, while the freight shares of the East Coast and Gulf ports would increase. By how much it has been not easy to measure or predict so far, but this study attempted to define some of the key parameters in the measurement. As well as several relevant background topics, both the demand- and supply-side versions of the National Interstate Economic Model, have been applied for the measurement of economic impacts. U.S. port authorities and policy makers at the local and national levels who respond and develop plans for coping with the new realities of the Panama Canal are able to understand the extent to which changes in shippers’ and land-mode transporters’ behaviors would undermine the logistics and the costs of their activities. Therefore, this study is important for a diverse spectrum of port development strategies in the U.S. to respond to the Canal expansion. 相似文献
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ABSTRACTThe advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics. 相似文献
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施晓春 《大连铁道学院学报》2003,24(3):13-15,32
为了有效避免液压系统仿真过程中的刚性问题,引人精细时程积分法,相对于以往的计算方法,它不仅使仿真结果精确,且可以较为有效的避免刚性问题,取得了令人满意的效果。 相似文献
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提出了带有多值非线性环节的线性离散系统的自适应控制算法,仿真实验的结果表明:该算法简单易行具有明显的优点,跟踪误差比采用一般的自适应控制算法时要小得多,且能保证闭环系统大范围近收敛。 相似文献
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本文提出在电气化铁路远动系统中采用高性能,低价格,灵活易用的通讯网络BITBUS构成分层的分布式网络系统,用网络结构代替常规的双机加切换器的结构。既简化了系统结构了又成功地解决了系统资源的共与分配,并为系统以后可能的扩展与联网打下了基础。运用软件工程学的有关技术和方法开发系统软件,使系统结构清晰,易于维护和扩充,本文针对电气化复线渡线开关监控系统的特点,给出了该系统采用的软,硬件方案及其实现过程。 相似文献
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通过大连华能电厂的循环水取水口工程实例,对不同的大型带孔沉箱结构进行了结构和经济效益的分析比较,以期推广受力性能较好、施工方便可行、经济效益较好的新型沉箱结构。 相似文献
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N. Docquier P. Fisette H. Jeanmart 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2007,45(6):505-524
This article presents a multidisciplinary approach of railway pneumatic suspension modelling: both multibody and pneumatic aspects are taken into account. The work aims at obtaining a realistic model of the secondary suspension and coupling it with a multibody model of a train. Various components of the pneumatic circuit such as bellows, tanks, pipes and valves are taken into account. The article focuses on the bellow-pipe-tank subsystem for which several modelling approaches are presented and compared. Differences between differential and algebraic models are highlighted, and an application-dependent choice between them is suggested. A complete model of the pneumatic circuit is then obtained and coupled with a multibody model of the train. As a result, the behaviour of a suburban train equipped with a pneumatic secondary suspension is analysed, in particular undesired oscillating motions which affect the comfort. Topological modifications and improvements of the suspension are also investigated and discussed. 相似文献