基于可靠性方框图与蒙特卡洛仿真的船舶配电网可靠性分析方法

国船舶工业发展迅速,尤其在近几年迎来了跨越式的发展。船舶建设工业的发展能充分体现一个国家的经济和国防建设水平。但船舶配电网拓扑结构与陆上电网不尽相同,其运行环境非常恶劣,供电连续性和可靠性成为衡量船舶生命力的重要指标,同时也深刻影响大型船舶的平均寿命。因此,可靠性研究在船舶建设中发挥着越来越重要的作用。本研究以典型大型船舶中压配电网结构为研究对象,在全系统元件正常运行时相互独立的情况下,重点研究不可维修与可维修下的系统可靠度、MTBF、可用度、停运时间和失效数等,并进行详细的分析与讨论。首先,本文综合考察各种可靠性分析方法的适用性和准确性,选择利用可靠性框图、最小路集分析法计算并分析不可维修情况下系统的可靠度、平均故障间隔时间等可靠性指标；接着,本文简述了配电网的多种维修任务类型,并采用最小路集法与蒙特卡洛仿真法相结合的方法计算并分析可维修系统的可用度、停电时间、失效数等指标。本文研究结果对船舶配电网的设计、建造、运行和维修等具有积极的意义。     

Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

旧水泥混凝土路面加铺沥青混凝土面层勘测设计

旧水泥混凝土路面加铺沥青混凝土面层，当没有路线设计资料时，需对旧有路线进行拟合，重新进行勘测设计，以获得与旧有路线一致的路线设计资料，为旧水泥混凝土路面加铺沥青混凝土面层提供设计依据。结合工程实践，介绍了拟合旧有路线时勘测设计的内容和方法。     

船舶除锈机器人驱动系统设计

介绍了应用在船舶除锈的磁吸附爬壁机器人本体驱动系统的设计,着重阐述了系统的驱动原理和驱动电路。系统以89c51单片机为核心,通过键盘以及通信接口可以方便的控制步进电机带动机器人本体运动,充分发挥了单片机的优势。实验表明,系统电路设计合理,简单实用。     

铁岭市县乡公路网分析与评价

针对影响现状公路交通特征参数较多且各指标之间又具有相关性的实际特点，应用模糊数学基本原理建立关系矩阵，对铁岭市县乡公路网进行综合评价。     

旧路改建工程设计

结合莞惠公路改建工程的设计经验,介绍改建公路设计时技术标准的应用,道路中线及路面结构的选择,阐述了如何进行加固和接长桥涵验算设计。     

挖掘机动臂自动下降故障的分析与排除

针对小松PC200挖掘机出现的动臂自动下降故障,按照由易到繁的步骤逐步分析了故障发生的原因,并且提出了在故障排除中应注意的问题.     

舰载信息系统软件安全

软件安全是舰载信息系统设计、开发、使用、维护中需要考虑的重要问题,从舰载信息系统安全体系出发,讨论软件安全威胁和软件安全阶段的划分,提供一些有效的软件安全措施。     

舰载文电处理系统构件化设计与实现

针对当前舰载文电系统开发效率低、灵活性和健壮性较差的问题，提出一种基于CORBA的舰载文电系统构件化设计与实现方法，分析和比较采用此方法所实现的新型文电系统的特点。     

坞式舰船压载系统研究

对坞式舰船压载系统设计中需考虑的稳性、作业时间、注排水方式等问题进行了分析研究,可供有关设计人员参考.