中国汽车产品出口非洲目标市场的确定──AHP模型在国际市场定位中的运用

本文运用层次分析法（ＡＨＰ）分析了影响中国汽车产品出口非洲市场竞争力的主要因素,确定了中国汽车产品出口非洲的目标市场,为我国汽车工业进一步开拓非洲汽车市场提供了科学决策的依据,对我国汽车出口企业和主管部门科学决策具有一定的参考意义和实际应用价值。     

An Economic Approach to Allocating River Water to Estuaries in South Africa

Estuaries are last in line as a recipient of river water and for this reason they are particularly vulnerable to negative environmental impacts due to water scarcity and pollution. They only receive the runoff that has not been abstracted or prevented from reaching rivers. When this runoff is substantially reduced their functionality is undermined and they often become less attractive for recreational use. This article explores some aspects entailed in efficiently managing the allocation of water to estuaries problem and some associated problems. It is shown that efficient management requires the marginal social costs of the inflows to be brought into equivalence with the marginal social values of the inflows, and these values may be estimated, but that there are the challenges in this estimation and in linking these estimates to the welfare of the people in whom the managers of river systems are (presumed to be) interested.     

Overview of public transport policy developments in South Africa

Public transport in South Africa is one of the most burning issues in the transport sector. The government is faced with huge public pressure to improve public transport systems in the face of rising fuel costs, the pending implementation of expensive urban toll road systems in the Gauteng province, and elsewhere in urban environments, public transport safety issues, public transport fleet renewal, especially the commuter rail services, as well as limited resources to fund public transport. As a developing country, the South African Government has pressing funding issues such as funds needed to improve housing for the poor to improve schooling and public health services. Government is also faced with a vocal minibus taxi industry that transports an estimated 65% of all commuters in the country that is also insisting on subsidies for its services.     

Engaging the paratransit sector in Cape Town on public transport reform: Progress,process and risks

The South African government in 2006 initiated an urban public transport reform programme reliant on the introduction of new bus rapid transit (BRT) systems. Affected paratransit operators can opt to be incorporated in these systems by forming new operating companies, but must withdraw their existing services from proposed routes. Cape Town's first phase of BRT operations came online in 2011, and operator engagement has focussed on this phase. The attitudes within this city's paratransit sector in relation to future phases, and to the broader reform policy, remain largely untested. In view of this sector's past resistance to government-led proposals, and the current phase avoiding areas with the highest concentrations of operators, the current engagement process's outcomes may not be adequate indicators of future prospects.     

西非海域外输系统中输油管的疲劳分析

外输系统在深水油田开发中得到了广泛应用,而其中输油管的疲劳问题是外输系统设计分析的关键。针对西非深水海域外输系统中的输油管展开疲劳特性分析,基于典型西非海况下外输系统整体时域耦合分析结果,对输油管时域应力曲线采用雨流计数法进行分析,然后根据合适的S-N曲线和Miner线性准则对输油管进行疲劳损伤计算。分析内容包括西非海域不同的环境条件对输油管疲劳的作用,穿梭油轮系泊情况下输油管的疲劳特性并考虑了横向升力对于输油管疲劳损伤的影响等。通过分析得出与输油管疲劳特性相关的环境参数及造成输油管疲劳损伤的主要因素,为输油管的设计与分析提供参照。     

非洲地区公路项目设计模式研究

研究目的:结合刚果(布)国家1号公路总承包项目的设计模式,探讨非洲公路项目设计管理体制的特点、设计标准的采用以及公路项目中设计的角色定位,并与国内设计模式作比较,为我国的设计工作者进行海外公路项目设计提供有益的借鉴.研究结论:(1) 非洲公路项目大多采用设计、施工一体化总承包的建设管理体制;(2) 非洲公路设计一般采用欧洲标准体系,相应的设计阶段更为详细;(3) 非洲公路设计模式与施工现场结合更加紧密,设计内容比国内标准要更多、更细一些,设计流程也更繁琐;(4) 设计施工一体化模式下设计更要充分考虑施工条件、施工方案等各方面因素,在效益最大化过程中起到举足轻重的作用.     

复杂水动力条件下开敞式大型散货码头泊稳条件分析

针对复杂水动力开敞式大型散货码头的泊稳问题,采用国际通用的以船舶运动量为控制标准来分析码头泊稳条件的方法,确定西非某开敞式大型散货码头的泊稳条件。结果显示拟建码头不可作业期约为2.3%~13.5%,泊稳条件良好,码头平面布置合理,可为类似码头泊稳分析提供参考。     

Patchwork in an interconnected world: the challenges of transport networks in Sub-Saharan Africa*

Sub-Saharan Africa has recently undergone, or still do in many countries, a period of transport infrastructure expansion. Current policies are centred on the development of international links, which require large capital-intensive projects and are sometimes economically dubious. This paper reviews the past policies and transport functions since colonial times by placing them in their economic and political context. We find that present strategies have similarities to the ones prevailing in previous periods, where expansion phases dominated by transport-led economic growth theories were followed by a stagnation of Africa’s infrastructure development. In view of the challenges in translating findings from empirical research into right policies, we identify the potential of more balanced and sustainable strategic investments, notably by reinforcing the existing secondary transport networks converging into urban centres.     

Catalyzing Coastal Management in Kenya and Zanzibar: Building Capacity and Commitment

Site-based projects were initiated in Chawka Bay-Paje, Zanzibar, and Nyali-Bamburi-Shanzu, Kenya, to demonstrate the benefits of an integrated coastal management (ICM) approach for addressing coastal issues such as tourism development and enhancement of resource-dependent village economies in eastern Africa. A two-year, multidonor project used three primary strategies to make rapid, but sustainable, progress toward ICM. These included using interagency government teams for ICM planning, adopting an internationally recognized framework for ICM as a project ''road map,'' and explicitly incorporating capacity-building strategies into all aspects of the project. Within two years, integrated ICM action strategies, prepared through participatory processes, were being implemented at both sites, and both teams were working to expand the scale and scope of ICM in their nation. More importantly, the project helped create committed, capable, interagency groups that continue to work together to address urgent ICM issues.     

Coastal Resources as an Engine of Economic Growth and Reduction of Poverty in West Africa: Policy Considerations

This article synthesizes lessons and outcomes from the second international Coastal Zone Asia-Pacific conference (CZAP) on “Improving the Quality of Life in Coastal Areas,” held in Brisbane in September 2004. The conference theme was chosen as a follow-up from the first CZAP that identified priority actions in response to the increasing recognition of social issues in coastal management, particularly those aiming to improve the state of the coastal areas in the Asia-Pacific region. The second CZAP explored the “quality of life” theme by placing emphasis on rectifying coastal poverty, sustaining livelihoods, and protecting cultural heritage. Mechanisms to address these issues were explored through international agreements, participatory research, capacity building, and education, as well as the continuing need for integrated planning, environmental management, and effective monitoring and evaluation. A post-conference survey showed that the second CZAP resulted in 122 initiatives (82 underway and another 40 planned) to progress the improvement of quality of life in coastal areas. These initiatives ranged from the establishment of a unit that is responsible for river basin and coastal zone management by the Thua Thien Hue provincial government in Vietnam, to a collaborative on-ground livelihoods project between NGOs, government, and financial institutions on coastal zone management facilitated by the Asian Development Bank. However, the authors argue that two key challenges for ICM in the Asia-Pacific region remain. These challenges relate to the effective monitoring and evaluation of ICM initiatives, as well as matching future ICM initiatives to emergent priority areas.