GM(1,1)模型与指数模型在基桩沉降预测中的应用

以某大型基桩的沉降预测为例,利用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)与Aeax曲线模型进行基桩在外荷载作用下沉降量的预测。结果表明:两种模型对于呈指数变化规律的系统能获得较好的预测结果;两种模型对基桩累计沉降的预测符合工程实际,对各级荷载作用下的本级沉降预测不够合理。对两种模型关系的研究表明,两者有内在联系,都属指数曲线预测模型,且指数曲线Aeax预测模型比GM(1,1)模型应用起来更简单,方便。     

城市轨道交通项目建设条件指标研究

针对申报建设城市轨道交通的项目,系统研究高峰小时单向最大断面客流量、线路各期客运强度、规划建设期内地方政府资本金出资额占地方一般预算财政收入的比例以及全部出资额占城市维护建设财政性资金的比例等4个项目建设条件指标,为我国城市轨道交通近期建设规划、近期项目比选上报和评估提供参考依据。     

相依性条件下滨海软土隧道盾构施工渗漏水风险评价

滨海地区多为海相和湖相沉积的软土,施工难度大,渗漏水病害多发,因此,应对盾构施工过程的渗漏水风险进行评价来保证隧道安全施工。构建渗漏水风险评价三级指标体系,将云模型与Copula函数结合,基于Copula函数对于风险指标中相关风险因素的相依性处理,云理论对于定性与定量概念的处理与转换优势,构建相依性条件下的二维和三维云-Copula模型。以宁波市轨道交通1号线为例,利用云-Copula模型计算二级指标对于各个风险等级的隶属度,确定危险性较大的二级指标为注浆质量、止水条、衬砌混凝土自防水。利用D-S证据理论进行证据融合确定该检测区段渗漏水病害的风险状态为安全,但有向基本安全状态发展的趋势。通过对危险性较大的指标加强监控,使渗漏水得到有效控制,为软土盾构隧道施工过程中渗漏水病害的风险评价与管理提供了一种新的方法。     

间歇式沥青混凝土搅拌设备验收方法的确定

沥青搅拌设备整机验收一般应针对主要作业性能指标进行。科学合理地确定验收项目及验收依据是验收工作的关键，根据实践经验，提出了一套切实有效的验收方法。     

军用半挂汽车列车的现状和发展趋势

介绍了国内外军用半挂汽车列车的发展现状,根据军用半挂汽车列车的运载对象和使用环境,分析了其性能特点、关键技术和发展趋势.     

纤维沥青混凝土试验及应用

对国道106线衡水北段纤维沥青混凝土试验中所采用不同类型纤维及纤维用量的沥青混合料马歇尔试验结果进行研究,分析纤维对沥青混合料马歇尔试验结果的影响及原因,从中得出纤维沥青混合料马歇尔指标的变化规律,为纤维沥青混凝土路面结构的设计和施工提供参考依据,并为推广纤维沥青混凝土路面结构做出尝试。     

地铁高架站站台送风舒适度分析

针对南方某地铁线路高架车站站台设置送风系统方案,采用舒适度评价方法进行定量分析,得出结论：在夏季,高架站站台送风系统设计的必要性不大,因高架站站台设机械通风对人的舒适感没有太多的作用,因此可以不设机械通风,而延用自然通风方案即可。     

TOD模式效益分析及评价指标体系

本文以TOD模式结构及功能分析为基础,通过确立模式开发涉及的效益主体及其期望目标,遵循效益最大化原则,将TOD模式系统效益划分为交通系统效益、经济效益、社会效益、环境效益4类进行评价分析.同时,在特性分析基础上,进一步确立了效益指标设置思路,并采用层次分析法建立了完整的TOD模式效益评价指标体系,为评价TOD模式效益并促进模式的进一步发展提供了理论支持.     

The Bid-rent Land Use Model of the simple,efficient, elegant,and effective model of land use and transportation

Integrated land use/transportation forecasting models add significant policy and infrastructure alternatives analysis capabilities to the urban planning process. The financial, time, and staff requirements to develop these models has put them beyond the reach of most small to medium sized urban areas. This paper presents the land use allocation submodel of the Simple, Efficient, Elegant, and Effective model of land use and transportation (SE³M), an integrated land use and transportation forecasting model founded upon Economic Base Theory and Bid-rent Theory. The Bid-rent Land Use Model (BLUM) is an agent based, spatial competition model utilizing unique utility curves for willingness to pay and incomes for budget constrained abilities to pay for each agent. The model structure, estimation, calibration, implementation, and validation are presented. With a single year of land use data available, the validation approach used the Kappa Index of Agreement to spatially check model outputs against base year control data while controlling for agreement by chance. The U.S. territory of Guam is used as the case study/proof of concept implementation for this model framework. Once calibrated, BLUM could solve the spatial competition problem on Guam in less than two minutes of processing time with over 90% accuracy.     

Sidescan sonar survey of a dumping site in the Mecklenburg Bight (south-western Baltic Sea)

Two dumping test sites of dredged sediment (glacial till, mixed sediment with sand) in the south-western Baltic Sea were repeatedly investigated with sidescan sonar. The first survey was conducted before dumping, the second survey 1 week after dumping, and eight more surveys were run during the following three and a half years. Sidescan mosaics were calculated from raw data. Comparing the mosaics, it becomes obvious that the initial strong microrelief of the dumping sites vanishes with time. The heaps of dumped material were eroded. Coarse material remains at the surface, fine material fills in the gaps between the heaps. Fine sediment structures (filaments and aureoles) created by the dumping process, and elongated traces of dumped material outside the dumping places disappeared with time.