宽带干扰下GPS接收机捕获性能的分析

在GPS接收机捕获原理的基础上，分析了GPS接收机的平均捕获时间和捕获时间方差，推导出宽带干扰与噪声的功率谱密度，从而得到检测概率和虚警概率的表达式，最后给出不同中频信噪比以及不同积分时间下的平均捕获时间和平均捕获时间方差与干扰噪声功率比的关系曲线。仿真结果表明宽带干扰功率达到一定值时，对GPS接收机具有较好的干扰效果。     

不同水文组合对长江口南港流场的影响

长江口南港河段流场受径流、潮流、地形及风浪的影响,相当复杂。现场资料耗资巨大,且水文条件差别较大,模型进行了12种不同水文组合的试验,以弥补现场资料的不足。根据试验结果对南港河段水位、流量、流速的变化规律进行了研究,同时分析了南港的流场特征。     

影响水利工程施工质量的主要因素与控制措施

在水利工程施工过程中 ,影响其质量的主要因素有“人、材料、机具、方法、环境”等五方面。一个水利工程项目从开工到竣工投入运行的施工过程中 ,只要某一环节上出现问题 ,都会影响工程质量的提高或可能埋下质量事故隐患。因此 ,保证水利工程施工质量 ,努力实现施工合同条件中确定的施工质量要求 ,必须做到事前主动控制 ,事中积极检查 ,事后严肃把关的积极的预防措施。同时 ,必须贯彻“以防为主 ,防检结合”的方针 ,做到纵向全过程、横向全系统、意识全方向、时间全控制的质量管理要求 ,综合运用多种督查手段措施 ,确保结构安全 ,满足使用功能 ,外表美观大方     

公路特大型泥石流研究及防治新理念

作为我国一种严重的公路水毁类型，公路特大型泥石流灾害至今尚未解决，本文建构了该类泥石流研究及防治新理念，对于公路建筑物的安全与稳定、确保公路交通有序进行具有重要意义。研究认为，公路泥石流研究及防治的主要对象是具有大冲大淤性能、毁损作用强烈的特大型泥石流；必须遵循以泥石流发育机理研究为基础、防治技术研究为手段、防治工程研究为目的的研究原则；详细分析了公路泥石流水毁模式，概化分析了冲淤变动型沟谷泥石流的发育特性；开发了防治效果极佳的速流结构，运用运动状态函数法建构了速流结构设计理念，运用动力学建构了泥石流最大抛程计算理论。     

Mental models of driving and speed: biases,choices and reality

This paper provides a review of research performed by Svenson with colleagues and others work on mental models and their practical implications. Mental models describe how people perceive and think about the world including covariances and relationships between different variables, such as driving speed and time. Research on mental models has detected the time-saving bias [Svenson, O. (1970). A functional measurement approach to intuitive estimation as exemplified by estimated time savings. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 86, 204–210]. It means that drivers relatively overestimate the time that can be saved by increasing speed from an already high speed, for example, 90–130?km/h, and underestimate the time that can be saved by increasing speed from a low speed, for example, 30–45?km/h. In congruence with this finding, mean speed judgments and perceptions of mean speeds are also biased and higher speeds given too much weight and low speeds too little weight in comparison with objective reality. Replacing or adding a new speedometer in the car showing min per km eliminated or weakened the time-saving bias. Information about braking distances at different speeds did not improve overoptimistic judgments of braking capacity, but information about collision speed with an object suddenly appearing on the road did improve judgments of braking capacity. This is relevant to drivers, politicians and traffic regulators.     

Socially optimal electric driving range of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles

This study determines the optimal electric driving range of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) that minimizes the daily cost borne by the society when using this technology. An optimization framework is developed and applied to datasets representing the US market. Results indicate that the optimal range is 16 miles with an average social cost of $3.19 per day when exclusively charging at home, compared to $3.27 per day of driving a conventional vehicle. The optimal range is found to be sensitive to the cost of battery packs and the price of gasoline. When workplace charging is available, the optimal electric driving range surprisingly increases from 16 to 22 miles, as larger batteries would allow drivers to better take advantage of the charging opportunities to achieve longer electrified travel distances, yielding social cost savings. If workplace charging is available, the optimal density is to deploy a workplace charger for every 3.66 vehicles. Moreover, the diversification of the battery size, i.e., introducing a pair and triple of electric driving ranges to the market, could further decrease the average societal cost per PHEV by 7.45% and 11.5% respectively.     

潮位变化对上海某越江盾构隧道变形的影响规律研究

为了探究潮位变化与越江盾构隧道的沉降和收敛变形之间的关联性,采用数据统计分析、相关性分析和周期性分析方法,对上海某越江盾构隧道的监测数据与同时期隧道上部的潮位变化进行研究分析。研究表明:1)江中段隧道在潮位变化的作用下产生均匀沉降,其波动性与潮位起伏具有近似的周期性;2)陆域段隧道沉降变化的波动性程度与河流的距离有关;3)潮位变化引起隧道管片断面的横径和竖径产生循环的收敛变形,其横径收敛变形大于竖径收敛变形。以上研究可为越江盾构隧道设计、施工和运维提供参考。     

华能曹妃甸煤码头工程陆域宽度优化设计

唐山港曹妃甸港区作为一个新兴港区,港口建设造陆工程对港区潮流、泥沙运动均产生影响,需要谨慎应对,以确保工程建设不对港区潮流和泥沙淤积造成不利影响。本文通过研究华能唐山港曹妃甸港区煤码头工程造陆宽度增加对港区潮流、泥沙运动产生的影响,加宽了堆场造陆宽度,优化了总体工艺设计方案。     

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飞机多机种出动架次率是衡量飞机作战效能的重要指标,本文对空军场站军用飞机多机种（型）出动架次率进行了研究。通过对飞机出动回收过程的描述,基于排队理论建立多服务器多服务率的飞机多机种（型）出动回收网络模型,并采用扩展后的平均值分析对飞机出动能力进行了求解。通过解析计算,给出飞机多机种（型）出动架次率曲线,分析架次率与飞机数量之间的关系,并结合平均队长、利用率等系统性能指标,识别出制约飞机多机种（型）出动架次率提高的因素。最后通过蒙特卡洛仿真对构建的回收网络模型的计算结果进行验证。验证结果表明,飞机多机种（型）出动网络模型及其算法适合应用于实践中,并且有助于对空军场站飞机多机种（型）出动能力的研究。     

基于层次分析法的区间估计的车站能力查定误差因子分析研究

本文归纳总结了车站能力查定计算过程中存在的多种影响因素,深入分析了其产生原因和不可避免性。然后利用层次分析法的区间估计方法计算得出各种误差因子对计算结果的影响权重大小,并对比不同误差因子的权重区间,筛选出强误差因子,剔除弱误差因子,为精确计算车站能力值提供依据。