边际油田-WZ11—1N开发的工程策略

讨论了北部湾边际油田-WZ11-1N油田开发的工程策略，通过技术和经济上的综合分析，WZ11-1N油田采用了“三一”模式依托开发的成果，在应用涠洲地区成熟的、较先进的工程技术和开发经验的基础上，对依托平台／管线的处理工艺和寿命进行了详细的优化和校核，同时采用了电力组网新技术，达到了降低工程投资，提高油田收益的目的。另外在总体布置上为未来油田的依托开发预留了空间。     

箱梁腹板增大截面体内预应力加固技术实例分析

随着时间流逝,部分旧桥经过长期使用,出现结构性受力裂缝、承载力及刚度下降的现象,如果不及时处理,将对交通安全造成极大隐患。通过30m简支装配式预应力混凝土连续箱梁桥为例,对腹板增大截面后张拉体内预应力加固方法进行了分析,通过设计计算及后期检测跟踪对比加固前后效果,阐述了施工过程及注意事项。事实表明箱梁腹板增大截面体内预应力加固方法不仅可以提高桥梁承载能力和整体刚度,而且弥补了增大截面和体外预应力加固方法的缺点,加固后上部结构自身重量增加不多、耐久性高。     

山区双车道公路机动车碰撞事故严重度致因比较分析与预测

以云南山区双车道公路1740起碰撞事故数据为基础,将事故数据分为机动车与机动车、机动车与摩托车、机动车与非机动车3种类型,事故严重度划分为仅财产损失、轻伤、重伤或死亡事故3个等级,分别用部分优势比模型和有序Logit模型建立3类机动车碰撞事故严重度分析模型,对比分析不同等级事故的显著影响因素和模型的预测准确率,分析部分...     

基于同方差的递增时间序列自回归预测的改善方法

提出了"利用反双曲正弦函数变换提高数据列光滑程度"的新结论,获得了递增时间序列改善的自回归预测新方法。     

A new estimation approach for the multiple discrete–continuous probit (MDCP) choice model

This paper develops a blueprint (complete with matrix notation) to apply Bhat’s (2011) Maximum Approximate Composite Marginal Likelihood (MACML) inference approach for the estimation of cross-sectional as well as panel multiple discrete–continuous probit (MDCP) models. A simulation exercise is undertaken to evaluate the ability of the proposed approach to recover parameters from a cross-sectional MDCP model. The results show that the MACML approach does very well in recovering parameters, as well as appears to accurately capture the curvature of the Hessian of the log-likelihood function. The paper also demonstrates the application of the proposed approach through a study of individuals’ recreational (i.e., long distance leisure) choice among alternative destination locations and the number of trips to each recreational destination location, using data drawn from the 2004 to 2005 Michigan statewide household travel survey.     

一种新型的置换海底子母管道技术

在BZ34—3／5边际油田海洋工程开发过程中，考虑到渤海海域的环境气候与所产原油的凝点，混输管道在冬季停输的情况下，管内原油容易在较短时间内凝固而堵塞海底管道，因此设计中须考虑管道的应急置换措施。为规避风险及符合边际油田开发投资成本小的宗旨，设计者引入了一种新型的管道结构形式-子母管道（Bundled Pipeline）。在停输的情况下，利用周边油田的已有设施，将子管内柴油反向输送至混输管道（母管）入口，将管内原油置换出来。介绍了子母管道在设计、安装过程中与传统海底管道的不同之处。混输、置换（子管）管道通过绑扎于一体进行安装铺设，这样在很大程度上节省了海上工程的费用与时间，目前该油田已投产且运转正常。     

一种简易核磁共振实验教学仪器

自制了一种连续波核磁共振教学实验仪器,包括设计了简单的背景磁场,以及自制实验仪器探头。用示波器观测信号,经过简单的水样品的实验,结果证明,仪器能够得到高质量的连续波核磁共振信号。     

Research on the pipeline walking caused by cyclic increasing soil friction for free deep-sea submarine pipelines laid on even seabed

Pipelines are important to offshore oil and gas development, but suffers from the pipeline walking phenomenon due to cyclic temperature variations—where large axial walking distances threaten the safety of pipeline systems. Current research indicates that pipeline walking is triggered by steel catenary riser (SCR) tension, seabed slopes, or thermal transients. This paper proposes a new driving mechanism for the pipeline walking phenomenon, involving cyclic hardening soil strength. The finite element analysis method was adopted to analyse the soil friction difference induced walking phenomenon, and the influence of key parameters on the gain in soil friction on walking distance was studied. Pipeline walking distances under different drainage conditions in the heating and cooling processes were also calculated, and the impact of the degree of drainage in the heating process was determined. To better understand the new pipeline walking mechanism, theoretical analysis of the walking behaviour under different cyclic soil friction conditions was carried out. Analytical solutions for estimating the pipeline walking distance were also provided, based on the simplified theoretical analysis.     

连续箱梁桥内力增大系数的计算模型

提出了具有一对弹簧支承的计算模型,用来计算连续箱梁桥的内力增大系数.用本模型所得到的一个算例的分析结果与按传统方法的分析值吻合甚好,并且它比后者在计算过程上得到了一定程度的简化.     

拥挤道路使用收费的理论构架

拥挤道路使用收费作为现代城市交通需求管理的有效措施在理论上和实践上都具有十分重要的意义。综述了拥脐道路使用收费的理论构架，包括静态拥脐道路使用收费的涵义，分类、理论基础及动态收费理论，这对进一步研究道路使用收费有一定的借鉴意义。