Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

磁悬浮列车穿越隧道引起的压力波传播规律研究

在对Fluent软件进行二次开发的基础上，对磁悬浮列车穿越隧道引起的压力波进行了三维数值模拟，得出了隧道内的压力波时程曲线。并将隧道内的压力波动情况与列车的运行情况相结合，对压力波在隧道内的传播规律进行了详细的分析和解释，这对磁悬浮铁路隧道的设计提供了理论基础。     

气象信息在船舶管理中的应用

从船舶航行安全、可靠性角度考虑，一个重要的影响因素是航行船舶所在海域的气象状况，因此气象信息对于船舶调度管理起到非常积极重要的作用。如何获取气象信息，并把获取的气象信息融合到电子海图显示平台中，对于航行船舶的监控和管理显得十分有意义。针对如何获取气象信息及如何与电子海图叠加显示两方面的内容进行了论述。     

舰载信息系统软件安全

软件安全是舰载信息系统设计、开发、使用、维护中需要考虑的重要问题,从舰载信息系统安全体系出发,讨论软件安全威胁和软件安全阶段的划分,提供一些有效的软件安全措施。     

重载列车有线电控空气制动系统的研究

重载列车在制动时,由于列车前后部制动力不一致而产生巨大的车钩力和剧烈的纵向冲动,极易造成列车断钩和脱轨事故。研究利用电力线作为通信介质,采用网络控制系统和每辆车作为一个网络节点,结合我国货车120空气制动机,实现有线电控空气制动。研究表明:由电控空气制动系统(ECP系统)控制列车制动,列车中所有车辆的制动和缓解动作几乎同步进行,全部车辆制动缸开始升、降压的时间差在0.2 s以内;在网络条件允许的范围内,装有ECP系统的车辆制动和缓解的同步性不受列车编组辆数的影响,各车辆制动缸的升压、降压曲线形状几乎相同;车辆制动缸压力的控制精度达到制动命令要求值的±20 kPa。由于ECP系统实现了对列车制动和缓解的同步控制,能够保证长大重载列车安全运行。     

基于VTS的海事信息发布系统

此文论述了建立海事信息发布系统的必要性,并结合海上交通的发展,特别是VTS的使用, 提出了海事信息发布系统的总体结构和实现方式。实际应用表明,该系统能满足海事信息化、政务化和商务化的要求。     

信息系统综合集成技术

综合集成作为我军实现新军事变革的重要方法，越来越受到各方面的广泛重视，首先概要介绍了综合集成的理念和实现的三个层次，着重分析介绍了信息系统综合集成中相关软件技术的发展和应用。     

无线列调电台的干扰问题

结合铁路现场无线列车调度电台维修工作中遇到的实际问题，分析发信机噪声、杂波辐射、邻道功率辐射、互调干扰和收信机阻塞等干扰现象产生的机理，提出解决方法和可行性。     

城市轨道交通企业局域网建设探讨

通过介绍上海地铁运营有限公司车辆分公司计算机网络的组建和企业管理信息系统的开发和应用,阐明了企业计算机网络建设和计算机信息管理系统在地铁车辆管理中的重要性。并对轨道交通企业中建设网络和开发管理信息系统需要重视的几个问题及其解决的方法作了探讨。     

Numerical simulation of the flow about self-propelling tanker models

A time-marching CFD simulation is performed for self-propelling ships. The flow about the hull is simulated by the finite-volume method, and the propeller action is approximated as a propeller disk for which the solution is given by a simplified propeller model. The interaction of two flow models is treated in a time-marching procedure converging towards the steady self-propelling condition. This method is applied to five tanker models, and detailed comparisons are made between the simulated results and corresponding experimental results. It is shown that the flow field in the self-propelling condition is qualitatively well reproduced in the simulation, and the estimated thrust deduction factors for the five hull forms agree well with measured ones. However, the effective wake factors are underestimated, since the Reynolds number in the simulations differs from that in the experiment.