聚脂纤维沥青混合料性能的试验研究

在沥青混合料中掺加聚脂纤维,通过室内试验对沥青混合料的高温稳定性、低温抗裂性、水稳定性等路用性能进行研究,对试验得出的各项路用性能指标进行有针对性的分析,得出加入聚脂纤维能有效改善沥青混合料的路用性能,但在使用上应根据具体工程的交通条件和气候条件,通过试验进行科学的选择.     

Planning guidelines for metro–bus interchanges by means of a pedestrian microsimulation model

The big paradigm for cities nowadays is to study the movement of pedestrians at the interface between metro and bus systems – metro–bus interchanges. When these interchanges are not well designed, walking is inefficient and can be unsafe for pedestrians. This paper analyses, by means of a pedestrian microsimulation model, metro–bus interchange spaces in order to propose planning guidelines for the city of Santiago de Chile. Specific objectives are (1) to identify the variables that provide efficiency and safety in those spaces; (2) to simulate different scenarios using the pedestrian simulation model LEGION; (3) to propose planning and design guidelines for pedestrian spaces at metro–bus interchanges; and (4) to contrast the recommendations in the recently opened terminal station on Line 1 of Metro de Santiago: Los Dominicos Station.     

共享单车现金奖励调度策略的用户接受意愿研究

为探讨共享单车用户在不同影响因素下对现金奖励调度策略的接受程度,设定了针对共享单车用户的调查问卷,并在济南市进行了调查,得到519份有效问卷。基于扩展的计划行为理论（Extended Theory of Planned Behavior, ETPB）模型和相关结构方程模型（Structural Equation Model, SEM）,设定了社会规范、支付能力、体力、感知服务、感知绿色价值5个构念以及5个相关假定,以测度不同奖励调度情境下共享单车用户对奖励策略的接受程度。结果显示,支付能力和体力对用户接受调度的影响程度最大,其次是社会规范和感知服务,感知绿色价值的影响程度最小。在此基础之上,提出了增大站点密度、实行现金奖励及提高车辆质量等建议,以降低运营成本、提升用户满意度与车辆使用率。     

我国证券投资基金羊群行为和正反馈行为的实证研究

首先对羊群行为和正反馈行为基本理论进行了综述,对我国证券投资基金的羊群行为和正反馈行为进行了实证分析,统计检验结果表明:从整体上讲,我国证券投资基金存在显著的羊群行为,且卖出羊群行为明显大于买入羊群行为;在整个样本期间,前期市场中存在着正反馈行为,后期市场中存在着负反馈行为。最后,根据实证结果,分析了证券投资基金交易行为存在的原因,并给出了清除羊群行为和正反馈行为的政策建议。     

日常路径选择行为的模拟研究

假设司机只能根据自己的历史经验做出判断，本文据此设计了日常路径选择行为中的四种路径更新规则。应用基于多智能体的模拟环境-SeSAm，在简单网络上对四种规则进行模拟，比较和分析了模拟结果。     

New approaches to transportation forecasting models

In 1992, the Federal Highway Administration awarded small research contracts to four teams of transportation researchers to design alternative approaches for improving the urban travel demand forecasting process. The purpose of these contracts was to enable each research team to explain how transportation planning models could and should be improved to meet the new forecasting requirements brought on by recent legislation, to address the impacts of new transportation technology, and to exploit the travel behavior theories and methodologies that have developed over the past two decades.This paper presents a summary and synthesis of the ideas which emerged from the four research reports. Its purpose is to identify common themes suggested by several of the research teams, to point out what appear to be critical elements missing from some approaches, and to combine the best aspects of the four approaches into a research plan for improving the current generation of travel demand models.Abbreviations CAAA Clean Air Act Amendments - FHWA Federal Highway Administration - GIS Geographic Information System - IIA Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives - IT Information Technology - IVHS Intelligent Vehicle Highway System - SUE Stochastic User Equilibrium - TCM Transportation Control Measures - UTPS Urban Transportation Planning System - VMT Vehicle Miles of Travel The paper was prepared as a report for the Federal Highway Administration.     

基于智能视频分析的铁路入侵检测技术研究

针对视频监控系统人工监视容易产生疏漏的问题,研究在铁路场景下基于智能视频监控图像序列处理和分析的识别物体入侵行为检测技术,给出铁路入侵物体检测、定位与跟踪的适用算法,实现基于轨迹点行为模型的入侵行为分析与理解。设计和开发了基于OpenCV的铁路入侵检测实验平台,在此平台上实现背景建模、运动检测与跟踪等项功能,初步实现了对入侵行为的识别、分析以及对危险行为的报警。     

桥梁用附加装置的发展和创新

超大跨径桥梁或强风、强震区的大跨径桥梁，其的静力、动力响应对桥梁结构设计往往成为控制因素，运用缓冲器、阻尼器和弹性连接等附加装置能有效地改善大跨径桥梁结构受力。在苏通大桥结构体系研究的一些思路和国内外有关资料的基础上，将十多年来应用的一些装置从性能、特征参数和工程应用理念等方面加以较系统地叙述，希望为我国桥梁在这方面的应用提供一些有益的帮助。     

Application of traffic microsimulation for evaluating safety performance of urban signalized intersections

The primary objective of this paper is to provide a statistical relationship between traffic conflicts estimated from microsimulation and observed crashes in order to evaluate safety performance, in particular the effect of countermeasures. A secondary objective is to assess the effect of conflict risk tolerance and number of simulation runs on the estimates of countermeasure effects so obtained. Conflicts were simulated for a sample of signalized intersections from Toronto, Canada, using VISSIM microscopic traffic simulation and several crash–conflict relationships were obtained. A separate sample of treated intersections from Toronto was used to compare countermeasure effects from the integrated crash–conflict expression to a conventional, but rigorous crash-based Empirical Bayes before-and-after analysis that was already done, with the results published, for the same sites and treatment. The countermeasure considered for this investigation involved changing the left turn signal operation for the treated intersection sample from permissive to protected-permissive. The results support the view that countermeasure effects can be estimated reliably from conflicts derived from microsimulation, and more so when a suitable number of simulation runs and conflict tolerance thresholds are used in the crash–conflict relationship.     

Rewarding rush-hour avoidance: A study of commuters’ travel behavior

Spitsmijden, peak avoidance in Dutch, is the largest systematic effort to date to study, in the field, the potential of rewards as a policy mean for changing commuter behavior. A 13 week field study was organized in The Netherlands with the purpose of longitudinally investigating the impacts of rewards on commuter behavior. Different levels and types of rewards were applied and behavior was tracked with state-of-the art detection equipment. Based on the collected data, which included also pre and post-test measurements, a mixed discrete choice model was estimated. The results suggest that rewards can be effective tools in changing commuting behavior. Specifically rewards reduce the shares of rush-hour driving, shift driving to off-peak times and increase the shares of public transport, cycling and working from home. Mediating factors include socio-demographic characteristics, scheduling constraints and work time flexibility, habitual behavior, attitudes to commuting alternatives, the availability of travel information and even the weather. The success of this study has encouraged adoption of rewards, as additional policy tools, to alleviate congestion, especially during temporary road closures.