影响经济型车市场的若干因素分析

首先通过统计数据，说明2005年初以来经济型车市场的繁荣状况。并通过汽车的购买和使用成本、国家有关行业指导性政策、汽车产品定位和消费升级及宏观经济4个角度进行分析，预测了经济型车市场的巨大容量和发展潜力。同时，简要阐述了对经济型车厂商的规划思路和产业格局的理解。     

光纤直放站在铁路无线通信工程中的应用

本文结合武嘉铁路的实际情况,分析了两种铁路无线弱场强区覆盖方案的特点,提供了以光纤直放站覆盖弱场强区的施工方案。     

航运市场中的牛鞭效应研究

揭示了航运市场中存在的牛鞭效应。结合航运产品的特点及H.L.Lee对牛鞭效应的研究,分析了对航运产品需求的预测、船舶建造周期、批量运输及运输的不平衡性、运输价格的波动、定量供应与短缺博弈是产生航运市场牛鞭效应的主要原因,并由此提出了相应的对策框架。     

铁路下一代移动通信系统LTE-R检测技术研究

GSM-R应用过程中,在频率规划、传输速率和系统应用等方面受到较大限制,我国铁路已确定下一代专用移动通信系统的发展方向为LTE-R。从带宽、网络结构和系统承载的业务等方面分析LTE-R系统与GSM-R系统的异同;基于LTE-R所承载的业务,前瞻性地研究了LTE-R相关检测技术及其检测系统的架构和组成,为LTE-R系统日常动态检测提供技术积累和系统支撑。     

GSM-R无线网络覆盖预测方法探讨

从工程设计实际应用出发,对采用网络规划软件进行网络规划前期各设计阶段的无线网络覆盖预测方法进行了探讨。     

高速列车宽带无线上网方案比较及电气安装要求

针对高速列车无法宽带无线上网的问题,分析比较了3种不同的解决方案和各自对电气安装的要求。车外语音加车内无线局域网,直放站配合无线局域网和微蜂窝RRU拉远这3种方案都能提供高速列车宽带无线上网。但是它们技术方案不同,导致成本、性能、布线难度不一样。可以根据工程要求选择不同的改造方案。     

基于交易费用的物流运作模式研究

从交易费用理论及物流运作模式着手,探讨了市场采购、物流自营,物流外包与物流内包的适应环境及运作对象。即:对于一般的物流活动应该从市场上进行采购,对于集成化的物流服务应该采用外部外包,当第三方物流市场走向垄断时,要积极寻求物流内包。     

Projected prevalence of car-sharing in four Asian-Pacific countries in 2030: What the experts think

This paper presents a “big-picture view” for policymakers and related stakeholders regarding the future development of car-sharing services. Car-sharing has the potential to significantly disrupt the personal mobility market. Thus, understanding their market penetration and implications is urgently needed. Previous studies in this domain have predominantly focused on the views, opinions, and preferences of consumers. In this study, we complement the current demand modelling research on car-sharing by applying an expert elicitation and aggregation technique that relies on transport experts’ opinions to investigate the role of car-sharing in the future. Specifically, based on the opinions of mobility suppliers, this research elicits experts’ judgment from across government, industry, and academia to gain insights into the future of car-sharing markets in four countries – Australia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. The analysis reveals that, from a mobility supplier’s perspective, energy and vehicle prices will not have a statistically significant impact on the future adoption of car-sharing. The results also show that the more knowledgeable an expert is, the more pessimistic they are about the market penetration of car-sharing in 2016, and the more optimistic they are about the prevalence of car-sharing in 2030.     

航运市场预测方法研究

引入灰色理论和回归预测模型,提出预测海运市场容量的方法,运用马尔科夫法预测未来公司的市场占有率,并运用敏感性分析搜寻盈利的关键因素。结合实例计算分析,证明该方法的衫性与有效性。     

Instantaneous communication throughputs of vehicular ad hoc networks

Vehicular ad hoc networks (VANETs) formed by connected vehicles in a traffic stream could be applied to improve safety, mobility, and environmental impacts of a transportation system. In this paper, we present analytical models for the instantaneous communication throughputs of VANETs to measure the efficiency of information propagation under various traffic conditions at a time instant. In particular, we define broadcast and unicast communication throughputs by the wireless channel bandwith multiplied by the average probabilities that one vehicle is a successful receiver and sender in a VAENT, respectively. With a protocol communication model, we derive formulas to determine the probabilities for an equipped vehicle to be a successful broadcast receiver and a successful unicast receiver/sender, and obtain broadcast and unicast throughputs along discrete and continuous traffic streams. We further examine the impacts on communication throughputs of the transmission range and the interference range of dedicated short range communication devices as well as the market penetration rate of equipped vehicles and the percentage of senders. Finally, we investigate the influence of shock waves on communication throughputs.