云南省民航客运发展预测

民航运输是云南省在进行综合交通运输建设的重点之一,也是该省在未来"十四五"(2021-2025年)和"十五五"(2026-2030年)规划期间的研究热点。本文以云南省为研究范围,以省内民航客运为研究对象,选取省内主要的社会经济因素为影响因子,运用主成分分析法(PCA)、反向传播神经网络算法(BP神经网络算法)和回归分析法,构建了省内民航客运的预测模型,得出省内各主要机场在"十四五"末和"十五五"末的预计旅客吞吐量,对省政府在进行机场改扩建上有一定的指导意义。     

我国水运业上市公司竞争力的实证分析

在充分理解企业竞争力的内涵和特点的基础上,从实际可操作性出发,以水运业上市公司2001年年报中的数据资料为依据,利用多元统计分析中的主成分分析方法对我国水运业上市公司的竞争力进行了全面性地定量实证分析,从而希望能为各水运企业的发展规划提供一些指导性的建议。     

轨道交通在机场地面集疏运体系中的应用

阐述和比较民航机场地面集疏运体系中轨道交通方式的分类和优势,介绍轨道交通在国外机场地面集疏运体系中的应用情况,分析民航机场地面集疏运体系的发展趋势,以及对我国大型枢纽机场集疏运体系发展的启示。     

Competitiveness of container terminal operating companies in South Korea and the industry–university–government network

Burgeoning container port facilities have fostered intensified competition among container terminal operating companies (CTOCs). However, despite research into their survival strategies which identified antecedents of competitiveness including hard factors such as facilities, available cargo and cargo processing ability, softer factors spanning human resource management, networks and strategic alliances with universities and government agencies in industry–university–government (I–U–G) networks have been overlooked. This study aims to examine both hard and softer antecedents of competitiveness as perceived by 152 professionals in South Korean CTOCs; empirical relationships among these antecedents, I–U–G networks, and competitiveness itself; and the significance of the I–U–G network in establishing and improving competitiveness. Posited antecedents of competitiveness included human resources, facilities, service quality, customer orientation, reputation, and government support policy as independent variables; the I–U–G network as a moderating variable; and competitiveness as a dependent variable. Empirical structural relationships revealed that excepting government support policy, each variable significantly affected CTOC competitiveness. Further, the I–U–G network moderated the relationships between the antecedents of competitiveness and competitiveness. Because an effective I–U–G network was pivotal in controlling CTOC competitiveness, improved competitiveness requires not only differentiation of human resources, facilities, service quality, customer orientation, and reputation factors but also I–U–G network developments.     

Competitiveness and macroeconomic impacts of reduced wait times at U.S. land freight border crossings

We analyze the macroeconomic and trade impacts of reducing wait times by adding one customs officer at each of the twelve major land freight crossings of the U.S. The change in wait time stemming from staffing changes is first estimated on the basis of primary data and then translated into changes in freight costs through a logistical model. The transportation cost changes are then fed into a multi-country computable general equilibrium model. We find that adding one customs officer at each land border crossing would, on average per crossing, generate an increase in U.S. GDP of $350 thousand and 3.58 additional jobs.     

新冠肺炎疫情对民航的影响分析与政策建议

为给政府制定应对策略提供决策支持,基于航班运行数据分析了新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对民航造成的影响。通过分析2003年“非典”和新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对民航影响的差异,基于情景假设对2020年民航运输发展形势进行了预测分析,并提出有关政策建议。研究结果表明：新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对民航市场需求造成了严重的冲击,2020年民航运输形势不容乐观,预计年旅客运输量同比基本持平或下降10.9%。政府部门需在做好疫情防控期间运输保障工作的同时,加快出台积极的产业政策以支撑民航发展。     

陆军航空兵部队作战指挥能力灰色评估模型研究

通过分析陆军航空兵部队指挥机构的作战指挥活动,构建了陆军航空兵部队作战指挥能力评估指标体系;采用灰色理论和两两比较原理相结合的方法,建立了陆军航空兵部队作战指挥能力评估模型;针对某陆军航空兵部队进行了算例分析,证明了该模型的有效性和可行性。     

对加快我军航空运输装备建设发展的若干思考

分析了我军当前航空战略投送装备存在的主要问题,在借鉴美军先进经验的基础上,提出了加强我军军用运输机（运输直升机）等航空战略投送装备建设发展的对策建议,例如尽快生产并配备大型运输机、发展超大型战略运输机及直升机、升级改造现有中型运输机和开展新型多用途飞机预研,对于有效增强我军战略投送能力具有重要意义。     

新型航空蓄电池起动车研制

飞机保障电源车用于飞机发动机启动、检修等场合。现在普遍采用的柴油动力电源车可以满足多型飞机的启动要求,但其工作时噪声大,污染严重,启动时电压和频率波动大。本文介绍了一种新型的飞机保障电源车,以大容量蓄电池作为能源,采用新型大功率逆变器作电能变换装置,可以输出直流和交流电源,与传统的柴油动力电源保障车相比,具有无污染、噪声小、交直流输出安全、稳定等特点,具有良好的推广应用前景。