Widening the Panama Canal and U.S. ports: historical and economic impact analyses

ABSTRACT

The economic history of the U.S. illustrates how the role of many cities has been changed by being seaports or located on navigable rivers or lakes. Based on the widening of the Panama Canal in 2016, the West Coast ports that include the west coast seaports of California, Oregon, and Washington were expected to become less important, while the freight shares of the East Coast and Gulf ports would increase. By how much it has been not easy to measure or predict so far, but this study attempted to define some of the key parameters in the measurement. As well as several relevant background topics, both the demand- and supply-side versions of the National Interstate Economic Model, have been applied for the measurement of economic impacts. U.S. port authorities and policy makers at the local and national levels who respond and develop plans for coping with the new realities of the Panama Canal are able to understand the extent to which changes in shippers’ and land-mode transporters’ behaviors would undermine the logistics and the costs of their activities. Therefore, this study is important for a diverse spectrum of port development strategies in the U.S. to respond to the Canal expansion.     

自由结构动力优化设计中的特征灵敏度分析

在结构动力优化设计中，特征灵敏度分析是一个十分重要的环节。如何在保证精度的前提下减少分析工作量具有重要意义。本文运用幂级数展开法，给出了诸如潜艇，鱼雷等自由结构特征灵敏度分析方法。     

锦白铁路扩能白音华地区总图布置研究

锦白铁路作为连接蒙东地区与锦州港的最短下海运输经路,对蒙东地区国民经济发展有着重大的意义.白音华地区是锦白铁路的货源地,通过对白音华地区铁路现状和矿区的规划以及未来铁路多元化经营发展的分析,对锦白线白音华地区总图布置进行研究并提出相关建议.     

襄阳北编组站扩能改造工程实践与分析

大型编组站扩能改造对既有运输影响大、施工组织难度高。介绍襄阳北编组站扩能改造工程的主要内容和面临的困难,分析该工程的施工组织情况,重点总结扩能改造方案与运输组织方案的优化,在此基础上,对比分析襄阳北编组站改造前后的运输效率和效益,验证该扩能改造方案的可行性。该方案兼顾了施工改造与运输生产,可为类似工程提供借鉴。     

基于BIM模型的铁路雨棚钢结构健康监测数据模型研究

结构健康监测是保障重大工程结构安全的重要技术,针对铁路站台雨棚钢结构监测过程中出现的站台模型和监测信息数据庞大的问题,提出一种扩展的BIM模型,即在现有的BIM模型信息中以数据信息的唯一标识作为依据,扩展所需的动态监测数据信息,将各类检测数据进行有效整合。首先对系统总体架构进行设计,设计面向钢结构健康监测信息的BIM模型,对系统总体架构合计,再根据扩展的BIM模型和模型数据,应用扩展的BIM模型系统设计,开发了基于BIM模型的监测系统,实现了铁路站台雨棚的有效监测。     

大跨度铁路桥梁梁端伸缩装置对列车走行性影响的研究

梁端伸缩装置是大跨度桥梁的重要组成部分,是容易受损的构件之一,对高速车辆的走行性影响较大。本文针对大跨度铁路桥梁梁端伸缩装置,建立结构动力分析的有限元模型,通过多工况车-桥(线)耦合振动计算,分析梁端伸缩装置自身变形、安装误差及梁端折角等因素对列车走行性的影响,提出车辆平稳性和乘客对车辆振动感觉的评判标准,并进一步基于车辆的平稳性和乘客对车辆振动的感觉确定车速及梁端竖向折角限值。研究表明,车辆响应对梁端竖向折角较为敏感。     

改性沥青伸缩缝结合料与混合料低温性能研究

为改善改性沥青桥梁伸缩缝材料的低温性能,使其在寒冷地区中小跨径桥梁上获得成功应用,通过添加热塑性橡胶类改性剂和橡胶类改性剂,对美佳改性沥青结合料进行二次改性,并通过对改性前后结合料和混合料低温性能的试验对比分析,重点研究了伸缩缝用改性沥青结合料和混合料的低温性能,通过实桥伸缩缝验证了研究成果的可行性。结果表明:该研究成果可在-40°C以上地区的中小跨径桥梁伸缩缝中使用。     

Traffic modelling in system boundary expansion of road pavement life cycle assessment

This paper uses a case study of a UK inter-urban road, to explore the impact of extending the system boundary of road pavement life cycle assessment (LCA) to include increased traffic emissions due to delays during maintenance. Some previous studies have attempted this but have been limited to hypothetical scenarios or simplified traffic modelling, with no validation or sensitivity analysis. In this study, micro-simulation modelling of traffic was used to estimate emissions caused by delays at road works, for several traffic management options. The emissions were compared to those created by the maintenance operation, estimated using an LCA model. In this case study, the extra traffic emissions caused by delays at road works are relatively small, compared to those from the maintenance process, except for hydrocarbon emissions. However, they are generally close to, or above, the materiality threshold recommended in PAS2050 for estimating carbon footprints, and reach 5–10% when traffic flow levels are increased (hypothetically) or when traffic management is imposed outside times of lowest traffic flow. It is recommended, therefore, that emissions due to traffic disruption at road works should be included within the system boundary of road pavement LCA and carbon footprint studies and should be considered in developing guidelines for environmental product declarations of road pavement maintenance products and services.     

基于有限元的尼龙板热膨胀性能分析

尼龙材料由于其良好的机械性能及热性能而被广泛应用于各种生产领域,了解掌握尼龙板材在不同温度环境下的热膨胀变形对于设备的维护和保养十分重要。本文从材料的热膨胀理论出发,以有限元的理论为基础,详细讨论尼龙板材在不同温度下发生的热膨胀变形,通过有限元仿真分析尼龙板材在不同温度下的热膨胀性能,得出尼龙板在一定温度范围内的热膨胀变化规律。