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基于学习率的纯电动与燃料电池汽车分场景经济性比较研究
引用本文:邱彬,禹如杰,刘勇,赵冬昶,宋健. 基于学习率的纯电动与燃料电池汽车分场景经济性比较研究[J]. 汽车工程, 2021, 43(2): 296-304
作者姓名:邱彬  禹如杰  刘勇  赵冬昶  宋健
作者单位:清华大学,汽车安全与节能国家重点实验室,北京 100084;工业和信息化部装备工业发展中心,北京 100846;中国汽车技术研究中心有限公司,天津 300300;中国汽车技术研究中心有限公司,天津 300300;南开大学金融学院,天津 300350;清华大学,汽车安全与节能国家重点实验室,北京 100084
基金项目:能源基金会(G-1709-26903)资助。
摘    要:新能源汽车较高的成本是制约我国新能源汽车发展的重要因素之一.本研究构建了纯电动和燃料电池汽车经济性综合分析比较模型.基于新能源汽车各关键零部件的学习率曲线,对纯电动和燃料电池乘用车、客车和货车的未来制造成本趋势进行了分析和比较.同时结合我国私家车、出租车、公交车和物流车4个应用场景,对各场景下纯电动和燃料电池汽车使用成...

关 键 词:学习率  燃料电池汽车  纯电动汽车  成本

A Comparative Study on Economy of Battery and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles of Different Application Scenarios Based on Learning Rate
Qiu Bin,Yu Rujie,Liu Yong,Zhao Dongchang,Song Jian. A Comparative Study on Economy of Battery and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles of Different Application Scenarios Based on Learning Rate[J]. Automotive Engineering, 2021, 43(2): 296-304
Authors:Qiu Bin  Yu Rujie  Liu Yong  Zhao Dongchang  Song Jian
Affiliation:(Tsinghua University,State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy Conservation,Beijing 100084;Equipment Industry Development Center,Ministry of Industry and Information Technology,Beijing 100846;China Automotive Technology and Research Center Co.,Ltd.,Tianjin 300300;School of Finance,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350)
Abstract:High cost of new energy vehicles(NEVs)is one of the most important factors restricting its de?velopment in China.In this study,a comprehensive model for economy analysis and comparison of battery electric vehicles(BEV)and fuel cell electric vehicles(FCEV)is constructed.Based on the learning rate curves of major components of NEVs,the future manufacturing cost trends of battery electric and fuel cell passenger cars,buses,and trucks are analyzed and compared.At the same time,combined with the four application scenarios of private car,taxi,bus and logistics vehicle in China,the use cost of battery electric vehicles and fuel cell electric vehicles in each application scenario is analyzed.Finally,the total cost differences between the two technical routes at differ?ent time points in the future are compared.The result shows that although the manufacturing cost of range?extended fuel cell vehicles will be lower in the future,the cost advantage of BEVs is distinct,with its total cost more competi?tive.
Keywords:learning rate  fuel cell electric vehicle  battery electric vehicle  cost
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