Consumer intentions for alternative fuelled and autonomous vehicles: A segmentation analysis across six countries |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Geography and Planning, Cardiff University, CF10 3WA Cardiff, Wales, UK;2. School of Psychology, Cardiff University, CF10 3AT Cardiff, Wales, UK;3. Department of Shipping Trade and Transport, University of the Aegean, 82132 Chios, Greece;1. Chair of Information Systems and Energy Efficient Systems, University of Bamberg, An der Weberei 5, 96047, Bamberg, Germany;2. Chair of Information Systems Engineering, University of Würzburg, Josef-Stangl-Platz 2, 97070 Würzburg, Germany;1. Research Centre for Integrated Transport Innovation, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Australia, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia;2. Institute for Choice, University of South Australia, 140 Arthur Street, North Sydney, NSW 2060, Australia;1. College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, PR China;2. School of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710064, PR China;3. Department of Library and Information Science, Incheon National University, 119 Academy-ro, Yeonsu-gu, Incheon 406-772, South Korea;1. School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States;2. Department of Economics, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile;3. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States;1. University of Basel, Department of Social Sciences, Sustainability Research Group, Switzerland;2. ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Institute of Sustainable Development, Switzerland |
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| Abstract: | Rapid advances in the development of autonomous and alternative-fuel vehicles (AFVs) are likely to transform the future of mobility and could bring benefits such as improved road safety and lower emissions. Achieving these potential benefits requires widespread consumer support for these disruptive technologies. To date, research to explore consumer perceptions of transport innovations has tended to consider them in isolation (e.g., driverless cars, electric vehicles). The current paper examines the predictors of consumer interest in and willing to pay for both AFVs and autonomous vehicles through a choice experiment conducted in six diverse markets: Germany, India, Japan, Sweden, UK and US. Using Latent Class Discrete Choice Models, we observe significant heterogeneity both within and across the country samples. For example, while Japanese consumers are generally willing to pay for autonomous vehicles, in most European countries, consumers need to be compensated for automation. Within countries, though, we found some segments – typically, those with a university degree, and self-identifying as having a pro-environmental identity and as being innovators– are more in favour of automation. Significantly, we also found that support for autonomous vehicles is associated with support for AFVs, perhaps, due to common demographic or socio-psychological predictors of both types of innovative technology. These findings are valuable for policymakers and the automotive industry in identifying potential early adopters, as well as consumer segments or cultures less convinced to adopt these innovative transport technologies. |
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| Keywords: | Alternative-fuel vehicles Autonomous vehicles Car choice Discrete choice experiment Segmentation |
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