公路枢纽项目客运量预测方法初探

公路客运量发展预测是公路客运枢纽站项目可行性研究中的主要内容 ,是确定一个项目建设规模的基础条件。探讨应用经济指标与公路客运量统计数据作为基础数据 ,在经济指标预测中采用增长系数法和三次指数平滑法进行预测 ,采用回归分析模型进行客运量预测 ,从而为公路客运枢纽项目确定规模提供依据

Discussion of Passenger Capactity Prediction Method of Highway Hinge Project

The development prediction of highway passenger capacity is the main content in feasibility study of highway passenger transport hinge station project, it is also a fundamental qualification to determine the scale of one construct project. In this paper, the author uses economic index and statistical data of highway passenger capacity as basal data, then adopts extension coeffcient method and three powers exponential smoothing method for prediction. In the end, regression analysis model is used for passenger capacity prediction so as to provide gist for determining the scale of highway passenger transport hinge project.