| 基于模糊层次分析的城市道路安全综合评价模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐婷,刘敏,贺玉龙.基于模糊层次分析的城市道路安全综合评价模型[J].武汉水运工程学院学报,2012(6):1166-1169,1174. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐婷 刘敏 贺玉龙 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]长安大学汽车学院,西安710064 [2]中国人民公安大学交通管理工程系,北京102623 [3]北京工业大学交通研究中心,北京100124 |
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| 基金项目： | 西部交通建设科技项目（批准号：2011318223710）、长安大学中央高校基金项目（批准号：CHD2011JC156）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了对城市道路安全状况进行客观评价，提取交通事故、客运量和货运量等3个方面共6个指标．收集2001-2008年31个省级区域道路的6个指标，并进行标准化．结合客观数据与专家意见，采用层次分析法进行指标权重计算．应用模糊层次分析法评价城市道路安全水平，构建判断矩阵．根据计算结果判断目标城市的道路安全水平状况，为日后的城市交通安全改进提供理论依据．以张家口为例，使用模糊层次分析法对城市道路安全进行评价．
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| 关 键 词： | 交通安全 道路评价 模糊数学 层次分析 |
Evaluation Model Research of Regional Roadway Safety Based on Fuzzy AHP Analysis |
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| Authors: | XU Ting LIU Min HE Yulong |
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| Institution: | (School of Automobile, Changlan University, Xi＇an 710064, China;Traffic Management Engineering Department, Chinese Peoplels Public Security University, Beijing 102623, China; Transportatzon Research Center ,Beijing University of Technology ,Beijing 100124, China) |
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| Abstract: | Six indicators from traffic safety, passenger and freight transportation were selected to eval- uate the level of safety service. According to traffic data from 31 provinces in 2006 , national average values are taken as a baseline. The standardized process was carried out by calculating the ratio of in- dex value of target cities and the national roads. Objective and expert advices are combined to caculate weight of each index. AHP and fuzzy analysis are applied to evalute roadway safety. Since function is selected to calculate the probability of membership. According to the results, the roadway safety level is determined and that lays a theoretical basis. Finally, fuzzy AHP analysis were apply to Zhangiiakou safety evaluation which takes advantages of objective and subjective evaluation methods could provide direct results. |
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| Keywords: | traffic safety raodway evalution fuzzy analysis AHP analysis |
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