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K近邻短期交通流预测
引用本文:方琴,李永前.K近邻短期交通流预测[J].重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版),2012,31(4):828-831.
作者姓名:方琴  李永前
作者单位:1. 贵州大学土木建筑工程学院,贵州贵阳,550003
2. 贵阳市公安交通管理局,贵州贵阳,550081
基金项目:贵阳市科技局项目(2009001)
摘    要:从分析短时交通流特性入手,利用非参数回归中K近邻的方法,对道路交通流量进行短期预测;采用贵阳市道路交通流量的实际数据进行验证。结果表明:K近邻非参数回归预测模型能较为准确的进行道路短期交通流预测,该方法可用于短期交通流预测。

关 键 词:短期交通流预测  非参数回归  K近邻

On K-nearest Neighbor Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction
Fang Qin , Li Yongqian.On K-nearest Neighbor Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction[J].Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University,2012,31(4):828-831.
Authors:Fang Qin  Li Yongqian
Institution:1.Civil Engineering Department,Guizhou Universitym,Guiyang 550003,Guizhou,China; 2.Guiyang Traffic Administration Bureau,Guiyang 550081,Guizhou,China)
Abstract:Traffic flow prediction was analyzed from characteristics;the method of K-nearest neighbor was applied in the non-parametric regression for short-term forecast of road traffic flow;the road traffic-related data of Guiyang City was employed to validate the model.It proves that the K-nearest neighbor nonparametric regression model can predict the short-term traffic flow more accurately and it also reveals that the feasibility of the methods is used in short-term traffic flow prediction.
Keywords:short-term traffic flow prediction  non-parametric regression  K-nearest neighborhood
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