| 优化城际铁路客运需求总量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 田飞.优化城际铁路客运需求总量预测[J].铁道建筑技术,2012(5):77-78,85. |
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| 作者姓名： | 田飞 |
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| 作者单位： | 中铁第一勘察设计院集团有限公司,西安,710043 |
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| 摘 要： | 城际铁路客运需求预测利用人口、GDP与区域客运需求的相关性建立回归模型分析,却忽略了由于个人收入分配差异产生对客运需求影响。从收入分配差异性引起的客流变化角度分析,对人口因变量和GDP因变量进行修正,优化城际铁路客运需求总量预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 城际铁路 客运需求 人口 GDP 劳伦茨曲线 基尼系数 |
Optimization of Total Passenger Demand Forecasting of Inter-city Railway |
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| Tian Fei.Optimization of Total Passenger Demand Forecasting of Inter-city Railway[J].Railway Construction Technology,2012(5):77-78,85. |
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| Authors: | Tian Fei |
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| Institution: | Tian Fei(China Railway First Survey and Design Institute Group Co.Ltd.,Xi’an 710043,China) |
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| Abstract: | Correlation between regional passenger demand with population and GDP is used for building regression model for the inter-city passenger forecast,while ignoring the influence of income distribution differences on passenger demand.This article,from the perspective of income distribution differences causing the passenger flow change,revises the dependent variables of population and the dependent variables of GDP,to optimize the total passenger demand forecast on the inter-city railway. |
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| Keywords: | inter-city railway passenger demand population GDP Lorenz Curve Gini Coefficient |
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