| 基于旅客出行选择行为的通道客运分担率预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 毛伟,马驷.基于旅客出行选择行为的通道客运分担率预测研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2009,7(1):75-79. |
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| 作者姓名： | 毛伟 马驷 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南交通大学,交通运输学院,成都610031 |
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| 摘 要： | 客运分担率也称客运市场份额，是通道内旅客对各种运输方式进行选择的结果．合理预测客运分担率是制定各种运输方式运营策略的重要依据．考虑到西（安）兰（州）通道尚未完全形成，选择基于非集计模型的方法，通过调查分析旅客出行行为来预测通道内各种运输方式的分担率．
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| 关 键 词： | 客运专线 客运分担率 非集计模型 TransCAD |
Forcast of Passenger Transport Market Share Rate Based on Travel Selection Behavior |
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| MAO Wei,MA Si.Forcast of Passenger Transport Market Share Rate Based on Travel Selection Behavior[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2009,7(1):75-79. |
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| Authors: | MAO Wei MA Si |
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| Institution: | MAO Wei MA Si College of Traffic , Transportation,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China |
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| Abstract: | The passenger market potential is caused by the transportation modes in a transportation corridor. The market basis to make operation strategy. Considering Xi＇an-lanzhou passengers who chose the potential is an important corridor having not been completely formed, this paper utilizes the disaggregate model by analying the passenger survey data, and then forecast the market potential of each transportation methods. |
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| Keywords: | TransCAD |
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