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舰船装备维修费预测方法评价准则体系研究
引用本文:谢力,魏汝祥,于伟宗.舰船装备维修费预测方法评价准则体系研究[J].中国舰船研究,2011,6(2):98-102.
作者姓名:谢力  魏汝祥  于伟宗
作者单位:1. 海军工程大学,装备经济管理系,湖北,武汉,430033
2. 海军工程大学理学院,湖北,武汉,430033
3. 92848部队,辽宁,大连,116041
基金项目:海军工程大学自然科学基金项目
摘    要:针对舰船装备维修费预测效果评价仅采用单一的精度准则可能导致较大预测风险的缺陷,在分析现有预测评价准则研究现状的基础上,总结了现有的预测方法评价准则,并通过进一步结合对舰船装备维修费预测特点的分析,建立了适合于舰船装备维修费预测方法评价的准则体系。建立的准则体系有利于提高舰船装备维修费预测的可靠性,降低预测风险,为舰船装备全寿命费用预测和舰船装备维修工作提供可靠的基础。

关 键 词:舰船装备  维修费  预测  评价准则  准则体系

Evaluation Criteria System of Forecasting Methods for Maintenance Cost of Ship Equipment
Xie Li,Wei Ru-xiang,Yu Wei-zong.Evaluation Criteria System of Forecasting Methods for Maintenance Cost of Ship Equipment[J].Chinese Journal of Ship Research,2011,6(2):98-102.
Authors:Xie Li  Wei Ru-xiang  Yu Wei-zong
Institution:Xie Li1 Wei Ru-xiang1 Yu Wei-zong2 1 Department of Economic Management,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China 2 College of Science,China 3 The Unit 92848th of PLA,Dalian 116041,China
Abstract:Aiming at the limitation of effect evaluation in ship equipment maintenance cost forecasting,which would result in high risks by adopting single accuracy criteria.The evaluation criteria of forecasting methods were summarized,which was based on the analysis of researching development on existing forecast evaluation criteria.Then,the characteristics of ship equipment maintenance cost forecasting were analyzed.Finally,combining the above two parts,the evaluation criteria system of forecast methods which fit f...
Keywords:ship equipment  maintenance cost  forecasting  evaluation criteria  criteria system  
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