| 基于VAR模型的南京市交通量与经济发展关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘驰,孙可朝,张庆年. 基于VAR模型的南京市交通量与经济发展关系研究[J]. 武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版), 2011, 35(5). DOI: 10.3963/j.issn.1006-2823.2011.05.044 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘驰 孙可朝 张庆年 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 武汉理工大学交通学院 武汉430063
2. 武汉理工大学交通学院 武汉430063;交通运输部科学研究院 北京 100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 武汉理工大学自主创新研究基金资助(批准号:2010-ZY-JT-003) |
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| 摘 要： | 在对南京市交通量与经济发展指标统计分析的基础上,运用向量自回归模型——VAR模型进行分析,通过采用协整检验模型、Granger因果关系检验模型和脉冲响应函数等分析,得到交通运输与经济发展之间的关系,并给出相应的建议.
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| 关 键 词： | VAR模型 交通量 经济发展 Granger因果关系检验 脉冲响应函数 |
Study on the Relationship Between Traffic Volume and Economy Development in Nanjing City Based on VAR Model |
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| Liu Chi,Sun Kechao,Zhang Qingnian. Study on the Relationship Between Traffic Volume and Economy Development in Nanjing City Based on VAR Model[J]. journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering), 2011, 35(5). DOI: 10.3963/j.issn.1006-2823.2011.05.044 |
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| Authors: | Liu Chi Sun Kechao Zhang Qingnian |
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| Affiliation: | Liu Chi1) Sun Kechao1,2) Zhang Qingnian1) (School of Transportation Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,China)1)(China Academy of Transportation Sciences,Beijing 100029,China)2) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of traffic volume and economic development statistical indicators in Nanjing City,and by means of VAR model,the relationship between transportation and development of economic is established through co-integration test,Granger causality test and impulse response functions.A number of measures are also proposed. |
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| Keywords: | VAR model transportation economy development Granger causality test impulse response function |
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