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基于MNL模型的有轨电车出行选择行为研究
引用本文:张栋,张力楠,史宇恒,蒋周耘,黎博文,杨晓光. 基于MNL模型的有轨电车出行选择行为研究[J]. 交通与计算机, 2011, 29(4): 75-79. DOI: 10.3963/j.ISSN1674-4861.2011.04.017
作者姓名:张栋  张力楠  史宇恒  蒋周耘  黎博文  杨晓光
作者单位:同济大学交通运输工程学院 上海201804
基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(批准号:2006CB705500); 上海市大学生创新型实验计划项目资助
摘    要:以现代有轨电车在上海建设试验线为背景,就市民出行方式的选择意愿进行了调查,在此基础上建立了多项Logit模型,研究了有轨电车的引入对市民出行方式选择的影响,明确了影响市民选择出行方式的关键因素为薪资收入、出行准点要求以及出行距离,进而指出了有轨电车在城市交通系统中的功能定位,并就如何提供现代有轨电车乃至城市公共交通的分担率提出了建议。

关 键 词:公共交通  出行行为  现代有轨电车  方式选择  MNL模型

A Multinomial Logit Model for Travel Mode Choice Analysis with Tram Introduced as a New Alternative
ZHANG Dong,ZHANG Li'nan,SHI Yuheng,JIANG Zhouyun,LI Bowen,YANG Xiaoguang. A Multinomial Logit Model for Travel Mode Choice Analysis with Tram Introduced as a New Alternative[J]. Computer and Communications, 2011, 29(4): 75-79. DOI: 10.3963/j.ISSN1674-4861.2011.04.017
Authors:ZHANG Dong  ZHANG Li'nan  SHI Yuheng  JIANG Zhouyun  LI Bowen  YANG Xiaoguang
Affiliation:ZHANG Dong ZHANG Li'nan SHI Yuheng JIANG Zhouyun LI Bowen YANG Xiaoguang(School of Transportation Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China)
Abstract:A stated preference survey is carried in Shanghai where tram has been introduced as a new alternative of public transport.A multinomial logit(MNL) model is developed to study travelers' mode choice behavior after the tram has been built.Study results show that salary,on-time requirement and travel distance are the most influential factors when a traveler chooses a travel mode.The analyses also show that the Tram is suitable for the trips with a short or mediate range as well as for the passengers who consid...
Keywords:public transport  travel behavior  tram  mode choice  multinomial logit model  
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