基于时间序列的联合火力战毁伤效能预测

根据联合火力战毁伤效能概念,借助作战能力变化,给出了新的毁伤效能计算公式,提出了一种联合火力战毁伤效能动态实时预测方法,在分析联合火力战特性基础上,同时考虑了系统的线性与非线性情况,制定了模型更新策略,最后通过仿真示例对模型进行检验,预测精度较高,表明该方法具有一定的实用性。

Prediction of United-fire Combat Damage Efficiency Based on Times Series

According to the concept of united-fire combat damage efficiency,with the changes of combat capability,the new calculation formula of damage efficiency is proposed,and present a dynamic real-time prediction method.On the basis of analysis of united-fire combat characteristics,we take the liner and nonlinear situation of the system,make the model updating strategy,fanally the simulation examples of model test shows that the forcasting accuracy is higher and this method has a certain practicality.