| 灰色预测法在城轨客流预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴强,冯维琇,胡晓嘉. 灰色预测法在城轨客流预测中的应用[J]. 城市轨道交通研究, 2004, 7(3): 52-55 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴强 冯维琇 胡晓嘉 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海地铁运营有限公司,上海,200031;上海地铁运营有限公司,上海,200031;上海地铁运营有限公司,上海,200031 |
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| 摘 要： | 选择灰色系统理论对城市轨道交通客流进行预测.此方法利用城市轨道交通客流量历史数据建立GM(1,1)模型群,对模型群中的各个模型进行精度检验,选取其中精度较高的模型对客流进行预测.
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| 关 键 词： | 城市轨道交通 客流预测 灰色预测 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-09-10 |
The Application of the Grey Prediction on Passenger Flow in UMT |
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| Wu qiang,Feng Weizheng,Hu Xiaojia First-author's address Shanghai Metro Operation Co.,Ltd,,Shanghai,China. The Application of the Grey Prediction on Passenger Flow in UMT[J]. Urban Mass Transit, 2004, 7(3): 52-55 |
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| Authors: | Wu qiang Feng Weizheng Hu Xiaojia First-author's address Shanghai Metro Operation Co. Ltd Shanghai China |
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| Affiliation: | Wu qiang,Feng Weizheng,Hu Xiaojia First-author's address Shanghai Metro Operation Co.,Ltd,200031,Shanghai,China |
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| Abstract: | According to the analysis of the data of passenger flow,this paper uses the grey prediction method for the future metro passenger flow,through the way of making a series of GM models with historical data,and chooses the most accurate model to predict new information of passenger flow by testing each model. |
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| Keywords: | urban rail transit passenger flow prediction grey prediction |
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