2012年乘用车市场分析与预测

文章分析了2012年我国乘用车市场情况，提出2012年乘用车需求主要受3方面因素影响。一是乘用车自身发展规律，即从发达国家经验来看，汽车发展有2个阶段；二是宏观经济形势，2012年经济增长率低于长期潜在水平；三是政策影响，不会出台全局性的鼓励和限制总量的政策。，并预计2012年乘用车增长率在12％左右。

Analysis and Forecast of Passenger Car Market in 2012

This paper analyzes the domestic passenger ear market in 2012, and proposes the three factors influenced the demand of passenger ear. The first is the itself development rules of passenger car, that is from the developed countries experience automobile development was divided two stages; the second is macro-economy situation, the economic growth of 2012 will be lower than the long- term potentM levek the third is policies influences, the overall policies encouraging and limiting the total quantity will not release. And it is predicted that passenger ear grow rate will be aboul 12% in 2012.