| 基于模糊AHP的北极航线安全保障体系结构分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 马晓雪,刘阳,张靖雯,乔卫亮.基于模糊AHP的北极航线安全保障体系结构分析[J].中国航海,2020(2):1-6,13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 马晓雪 刘阳 张靖雯 乔卫亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连海事大学公共管理与人文艺术学院;大连海事大学轮机工程学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金(19BZZ104,14BZZ070);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(3132019346);“双一流”建设专项(SSCXXM024)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 为有针对性地加强北极航线安全保障体系建设,有准备地应对在船舶航行过程中遇到的安全挑战和威胁,通过对相关影响因素进行识别,从对内服务和对外合作两方面构建北极航线安全保障体系,引入专家可信度的模糊层次分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP)对专家意见进行模糊聚类和去模糊化处理,确定各层次指标权重,并根据帕累托法则对体系结构进行分析。结果表明:通信和安全信息播发技术、船舶导航定位技术和设备防寒防冻技术等是我国北极航线安全保障体系中的关键因素,未来应有针对性地加强对相关因素的研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊层次分析法 北极航线安全 帕累托法则 体系结构分析 |
Architecture Analysis of Arctic Shipping Routes Safety System Based on Fuzzy AHP |
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| MA Xiaoxue,LIU Yang,ZHANG Jingwen,QIAO Weiliang.Architecture Analysis of Arctic Shipping Routes Safety System Based on Fuzzy AHP[J].Navigation of China,2020(2):1-6,13. |
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| Authors: | MA Xiaoxue LIU Yang ZHANG Jingwen QIAO Weiliang |
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| Institution: | (Public Administration and Humanities College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China;Marine Engineering College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to strengthen the construction of Arctic shipping routes safety system,and be prepared to deal with the challenges and threats in the course of Arctic navigation,a basic design of an Arctic shipping routes specific safety system involving both internal services and external cooperation is presented and the relevant influencing factors are indentified.The fuzzy AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)is used to perform the fuzzy aggregation of expert opinion and the defuzzification of the result.The weights of indexes at different levels are determined and the architecture of the system is analyzed according to the Pareto principle.The analysis shows that communication and anti-jamming technology,ship navigation and positioning technology,equipment cold-proof and anti-freezing technology are key factors need to be focused on in studies of the arctic shipping routes safety. |
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| Keywords: | fuzzy AHP Arctic shipping routes safety Pareto principle architecture analysis |
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