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曲线拟合度分析在公路客运预测中的应用
引用本文:吴汪友. 曲线拟合度分析在公路客运预测中的应用[J]. 大连铁道学院学报, 2011, 0(1): 26-29
作者姓名:吴汪友
作者单位:浙江交通职业技术学院运输管理学院;
摘    要:对公路客运量预测方法进行了介绍,阐述了回归预测中引入曲线拟合度分析法的作用,对曲线拟合度分析法的预测思路与方法进行了介绍,选取杭州市"十一五"期间客运量与生产总值数据来构建货物运输量预测模型,对"十二五"期间客运量进行了预测,提高了公路客运量预测对于交通规划的指导作用.

关 键 词:曲线拟合度  运输量  周转量  预测

Application of Curve Fitting Analysis Method in Road Passenger Forecast
WU Wang-you. Application of Curve Fitting Analysis Method in Road Passenger Forecast[J]. Journal of Dalian Railway Institute, 2011, 0(1): 26-29
Authors:WU Wang-you
Affiliation:WU Wang-you(School of Transportation Management,Zhejiang Institute of Communications,Hangzhou 311112,China)
Abstract:Prediction method for road passenger transport is introduced,and the role of curve fitting analysis method with regression is described.An example of Hangzhou passenger transport and GDP data during Eleventh Five-Year period is taken to construct the prediction and forecast model of passenger transportation,which will improve the role of road passenger transportation forecast to transportation planning guidance.
Keywords:curve fitting  traffic  turnover  forecast  
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