Transport policy scenario-building |
| |
| Authors: | Dominic Stead David Banister |
| |
| Institution: | 1. OTB Research Institute for the Built Environment, Delft University of Technology, PO Box 5015, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands;2. Bartlett School of Planning, University College London, 22 Gordon Street, London WC1H 0QB, UK |
| |
| Abstract: | Long-term planning decisions must be as robust as possible to withstand such changes in the policy-making environment. This calls for a new approach for identifying how policies might fare under different types of conditions and for identifying robust no-regrets strategies. This paper outlines a systematic and logical framework for the development of policy scenarios and shows how scenarios can be used in the analysis of future policy options. The article discusses how scenario analysis can be used to identify, anticipate and assess policy options for the future in an environment of uncertainty, mainly using examples of transport policy in Europe. |
| |
| Keywords: | European transport policy Scenarios Scenario-building Policy appraisal |
|
|
