Modelling waiting time for passengers transferring from rail to buses |
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| Authors: | Shuxia Guo Lei Yu Xumei Chen Yu Zhang |
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| Institution: | 1. Beijing General Municipal Engineering Design &2. Research Institute , Building 3(BMEDI), No.32 Xizhimen Beidajie, Haidian District, BJ, 100082, Beijing, China guoguoshuxia@163.com;4. College of Science and Technology , Texas Southern University , Houston, USA;5. MOE Key Laboratory for Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology, School of Traffic and Transportation , Beijing Jiaotong University , Beijing, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper develops a mathematical model to calculate the average waiting time for passengers transferring from rail transit to buses based on the statistical analysis of primary data collected in Beijing. An important part of the average waiting time modelling is to analyse the distributions of passenger arrival rates. It is shown that the lognormal and gamma distributions have the best fit for direct transfer and non-direct transfer passengers, respectively. Subsequently, an average waiting time model for transferring passengers is developed based on passenger arrival rate distributions. Furthermore, case studies are conducted for two scenarios with real and estimated data, resulting in relative errors of ?3.69% and ?3.77%, respectively. Finally, the paper analyses the impacts of bus headway, the headway of rail cars, and the proportion of direct transfer passengers on average waiting time. |
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| Keywords: | average waiting time transfer arrival rate distribution headway direct transfer passenger proportion |
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