A multi-layer scenario analysis for sustainable international transport |
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Authors: | Barry Ubbels Caroline Rodenburg Peter Nijkamp |
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Affiliation: | Department of Spatial Economics , Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam , De Boelelaan 1105, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, The Netherlands |
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Abstract: | This article considers the development of the international transport sector based on four globalization scenarios. These four images of the future transportation market are constructed at three different levels (global, European and Dutch). The possible consequences of these scenarios are mapped out not only by key aspects such as modal split and spatial organization but also by providing empirical insights into expected transport flows for both passenger and freight transport in 2020 based on data from 1995. |
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Keywords: | Globalization Scenarios Transport Spatial Organization |
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