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多发性骨髓瘤预后因素的COX模型分析
引用本文:陈学民,郑成云,邵文斌,高建民,陈开浚,韩云峰.多发性骨髓瘤预后因素的COX模型分析[J].西安交通大学学报(医学版),1994(3).
作者姓名:陈学民  郑成云  邵文斌  高建民  陈开浚  韩云峰
作者单位:西安第一附属医院血液科
摘    要:为探讨影响多发性骨髓瘤患者生存的危险因素,用COX模型对71例多发性骨髓瘤患者的15项临床及实验室指标进行了单、多因素回归,结果筛选出两项显著性指标,即血肌酐及尿素氮水平升高是影响骨髓瘤预后的危险因素。并进一步分析了骨髓瘤肾功损害与诸因素的关系,发现骨髓瘤所造成的继发性损害如贫血、感染、高血钙、尿BJP(本一周蛋白)均与肾功能不全有关,提示可用肾功能损害程度综合反映骨髓瘤患者的生存预后。

关 键 词:多发性骨髓瘤,生存分析,模型回归,预后因素

ANALYSIS OF PROGNOSTIC FACTORS IN MULTIPLE MYELOMA WITH COX HAZARD MODEL
Chen Xuemin , Zheng Chengyun, Shao Wenbin.ANALYSIS OF PROGNOSTIC FACTORS IN MULTIPLE MYELOMA WITH COX HAZARD MODEL[J].Journal of Xi‘an Jiaotong University:Medical Sciences,1994(3).
Authors:Chen Xuemin  Zheng Chengyun  Shao Wenbin
Abstract:The univariate and multivariate regression analysis of 14 clinical and laboratory parameters in 71 patients with multiple myeloma was made using COX proportional hazards model. The result showed that two parameters had a significant adverse effect on survival, that is, blood ureanitrogen(BUN) and cratinine(Cr) level. Furthermore,we analyzed the relationship between renal defect and the other factors and found that the secondary defects caused by multiple myeloma. such as anemia, infection, hypercalcium, and B-J urioprotine related with renal defect, which suggests that the extent of renal defect can reflect inclusively the prognosis of the patients with multiple myeloma.
Keywords:multiple myeloma  survival analysis  COX hazard model  prognostic factors
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