| GM（1，1）模型在福州市橘园洲大桥交通量预测中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 龙天兰,丁艺.GM（1，1）模型在福州市橘园洲大桥交通量预测中的应用研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2011,9(4):114-118. |
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| 作者姓名： | 龙天兰 丁艺 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建农林大学,交通学院,福州350002 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省教育厅资助项目(JB04117) |
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| 摘 要： | GM（1，1）模型具有计算量小、过程简单且精度较高等优点，特别适合于基础数据相对缺乏的城市桥梁交通量预测研究。因此，本文在介绍GM（1，1）模型的基本原理基础上，收集福州市橘园洲大桥2005年至2009年的交通量数据，应用GM（1，1）模型对其进行未来年的交通量预测，从而为城市桥梁交通量预测提供了一种简单实用的方法。这...
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| 关 键 词： | 交通量：预测 GM(1 1)模型 福州 橘园洲大桥 |
Application of GM(1,1)Model to Traffic Prediction for Juyuanzhou Bridge in Fuzhou |
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| LONG Tian-lan DING Yi College of Traffic,Fujian Agriculture , Forestry University,Fuzhou ,China.Application of GM(1,1)Model to Traffic Prediction for Juyuanzhou Bridge in Fuzhou[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2011,9(4):114-118. |
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| Authors: | LONG Tian-lan DING Yi College of Traffic Fujian Agriculture Forestry University Fuzhou China |
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| Institution: | LONG Tian-lan DING Yi College of Traffic,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002,China |
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| Abstract: | GM(1,1)model has many advantages,such as,a small amount of calculations,simple process and high precision.Especially,it can be used to predict the future traffic of a city bridge under lacking enough information and data of the bridge traffic.Consequently,the article introduced the principle of GM(1,1) model,and collected the traffic volume data of Juyuanzhou bridge in Fuzhou from 2005 to 2009,then applied the GM(1,1)model to making a prediction of Juyuanzhou bridge's traffic volume in the next years.This m... |
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| Keywords: | Traffic volume prediction GM(1 1)model Fuzhou Juyanzhou bridge |
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