| Logit模型在南广高铁线客流分担预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄大明,覃仕欢,赵春春.Logit模型在南广高铁线客流分担预测中的应用[J].西部交通科技,2012(11):45-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄大明 覃仕欢 赵春春 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广西大学机械工程学院,广西南宁,530004
2. 广西壮族自治区道路运输管理局,广西南宁,530021 |
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| 基金项目： | 2010年广西交通科技项目《广西高速铁路对公路运输企业经营的影响分析及应对措施研究》(桂交综合发 |
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| 摘 要： | 对分担率进行科学的预测是交通运输规划的基础性工作，是制定运输决策的重要依据。文章经过比较选取多项Logit模型为分担率预测模型，介绍了模型建立与求解的方法，并运用该模型对南广高铁沿线客流分担率进行预测分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 分担率 Logit模型 南广高铁 公路客运 |
Application of Logit Model in Passenger Flow Sharing Forecast of Nan-Guang High-speed Railway |
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| HUANG Da-ming,QIN Shi-huan,ZHAO Chun-chun.Application of Logit Model in Passenger Flow Sharing Forecast of Nan-Guang High-speed Railway[J].Western China Communication Science & Technology,2012(11):45-48. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Da-ming QIN Shi-huan ZHAO Chun-chun |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Mechanical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning, Guangxi,5 30004; 2.Guangxi Road Transport Administration Bureau, Nanning, Guangxi,5 30021) |
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| Abstract: | The scientific forecast of sharing rate is the basic work of transportation planning, and it is also the important basis for developing the transportation decision.The article se- lected the multinomial Logit model as the sharing rate forecast model through the compari- son, introduced the model establishment and solving method,and used this model to fore- cast and analyze the passenger sharing rate along Nan-Guang high-speed railway. |
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| Keywords: | Sharing rate Logit model Nan-Guang high-speed railway Highway passenger transport |
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