| 组合预测模型在上海内河港口吞吐量预测中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张欣. 组合预测模型在上海内河港口吞吐量预测中的应用[J]. 水运工程, 2007, 0(4): 31-34 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张欣 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海,200135 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 建立时间序列和二元线性回归的组合预测模型,对上海内河港口2010年、2015年和2020年的货物吞吐量水平进行了预测。研究发现,组合预测模型相比单个预测方法具有较高的精度,能够较准确地预测上海内河港口货物吞吐量。
|
| 关 键 词： | 时间序列法 二元线性回归模型 组合预测模型 内河港口吞吐量 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-4972（2007）04-0031-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-11-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-14 |
Application of Combined Forecasting Model for Throughput Prediction of Shanghai Inland Port |
| |
| ZHANG Xin. Application of Combined Forecasting Model for Throughput Prediction of Shanghai Inland Port[J]. Port & Waterway Engineering, 2007, 0(4): 31-34 |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Xin |
| |
| Affiliation: | College of Transportation, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China |
| |
| Abstract: | A combined forecasting model is established by combining time series prediction model and two variable linear regression model to forecast the throughput of Shanghai inland port in Years 2010,2015 and 2020.It is found out through research that the result by combined forecasting model is more precise than by one single forecasting model. |
| |
| Keywords: | time series prediction two variable linear regression combined forecasting model throughput of inland port |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
