重庆市主城区轨道交通客流成长规律研究

根据重庆市主城区轨道交通线路的通车历程,将其划分为单线运营、初步成网和网络化运营3个阶段。结合线网长度的变化,从客运量与客流强度、换乘量与换乘系数、平均乘距与平均运距、早高峰小时客运量与早高峰小时系数、最大日客运量与线网客流波动系数等多个层面的指标深入总结分析主城区轨道客流成长规律。结合北京、上海、广州、深圳的轨道交通线网及其客流成长特征指标,进一步总结轨道交通线网与客流成长规律,期望为相关城市的轨道交通客流分析与预测提供借鉴。

Passenger Flow Increasing Pattern of Chongqing Urban Rail Network

The operation of Chongqing Urban Rail can be divided into three phases based on history: single-line operation, initial-network operation, and integrated-network operation. The passenger flow increasing pattern and change in the network length in Chongqing were summarized from such factors as ridership and passenger intensity, interchange passengers and the coefficient of interchange, riding and transport distances, ridership in the morning peak hours and the percentage, maximum day-ridership and the coefficient of fluctuation, etc. Furthermore, a more generalized passenger flow increasing pattern can be summarized based on the factors indicating passenger flow increasing patterns in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, which can be a reference for rail passenger flow prediction for other cities.