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世博会客流活动仿真模型及决策评价研究
引用本文:孙剑,李克平,尹瑞,印立敏.世博会客流活动仿真模型及决策评价研究[J].武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版),2009,33(3):418-421.
作者姓名:孙剑  李克平  尹瑞  印立敏
作者单位:同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海,200092
摘    要:针对2010年上海世博会参观游客的特殊需求,结合潜在游客意向偏好调查,建立了考虑背景交通以及场馆吸引度的世博园区客流活动仿真模型,包括各个场馆的活动发生模型、活动分布模型、方式选择模型以及交通分配模型.在此基础上,以VISUM仿真软件为平台,结合COM(component object model)组件技术开发了基于VISUM的世博园区客流集散方案评价的决策支持系统.最后以世博园区游客总量波动示例验证了客流集散方案评价系统的有效性.

关 键 词:世博会  场馆吸引度  游客活动仿真模型  决策评价

Study on Visitor Activity Simulation Model and Decision Evaluation for EXPO 2010
Sun Jian,Li Keping,Yin Rui,Yin Limin.Study on Visitor Activity Simulation Model and Decision Evaluation for EXPO 2010[J].journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering),2009,33(3):418-421.
Authors:Sun Jian  Li Keping  Yin Rui  Yin Limin
Institution:Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering;Ministry of Education;Tongji University;Shanghai 200092
Abstract:The EXPO visitor's special traffic demand are regarded combined with the potential traveler SP(Stated Preference) survey.And the traveler's activity simulation model is established considering the background traffic and gallery attraction intensity in EXPO territory,which includes activity generation model,traffic distribution model,mode split model and traffic assignment model.The simulation based on EXPO visitors' evaluation decision support system is programmed using the VISUM COM(Component Object Model)...
Keywords:VISUM
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