Intertemporal issues and marginal abatement costs in the UK transport sector |
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| Authors: | Fabian Kesicki |
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| Affiliation: | 1. UFRJ/Macaé/Mechanical Engineer, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil;2. PPE/COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil;1. College of Economics and Management & Research Centre for Soft Energy Science, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 29 Jiangjun Avenue, Nanjing 211106, China;2. Business School, Hohai University, 8 Focheng West Road, Nanjing 211100, China;1. Department of Building Science and Technology, School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084;2. Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing , 100084, PR China.;1. Institute of Technology Assessment of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Strohgasse 45/5, 1030 Vienna, Austria;2. Institute of the Environment and Regional Development, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, Nordbergstraβe 15, 1090 Vienna, Austria;1. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China;2. Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China;3. Collaborative Innovation Centre of Electric Vehicles in Beijing, Beijing, 100081, China;4. Sustainable Development Research Institute for Economy and Society of Beijing, Beijing, 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | An energy system model, UK MARKAL, is combined with decomposition analysis and sensitivity analysis to derive mitigation costs and emissions reduction potentials in the UK transport sector. The paper tests the robustness of a marginal abatement cost curve for the year 2030 for two parameters: path dependency and discount rate. Path dependency is found to be a significant, yet not substantial, influencing factor on the shape and the structure of the marginal abatement cost curve. Doubling the technology-specific hurdle rates shows that abatement costs increase significantly. The results suggest that policy makers should be aware of the underlying carbon tax pathway and whether results are based on society’s view or a private perspective. |
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