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云模型在训练弹药消耗预测中的应用研究
引用本文:周辅疆,朱小冬,程永伦.云模型在训练弹药消耗预测中的应用研究[J].舰船电子工程,2009,29(10):57-59.
作者姓名:周辅疆  朱小冬  程永伦
作者单位:1. 军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系,石家庄,050003;镇江船艇学院,镇江,212003
2. 军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系,石家庄,050003
3. 71602部队,莱阳,261055
摘    要:针对弹药消耗呈现较强的非线性特征,解决弹药消耗预测模糊性与随机性的问题,增强解决不确定性问题的鲁棒性,文章提出一种基于云模型的预测方法,构建了基于云模型弹药消耗预测模型,并将该模型运用于平时训练弹药消耗预测,以某训练弹药消耗为例进行实例验证,分析结果表明,基于云模型的弹药需求预测具有良好效果。

关 键 词:云模型  弹药消耗  预测

Application of Cloud Models in Prediction of Training Ammunition Expense
Zhou Fujiang,Zhu Xiaodong,Cheng Yonglun.Application of Cloud Models in Prediction of Training Ammunition Expense[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2009,29(10):57-59.
Authors:Zhou Fujiang  Zhu Xiaodong  Cheng Yonglun
Institution:Zhou Fujiang, Zhu Xiaodong, Cheng Yonglun (Department of Equipment Command & Management of Ordnance Engineering College1) , Shijiazhuang 050003) (Zhenjiang Watercraft College of PLA) , Zhenjiang 212003)(No. 71602 Troops of PLA , Laiyang 261005)
Abstract:In allusion to be nonlinear characteristic in ammunition expense, resolve the problem of fuzziness and randomness in ammunition expense, strengthen the coupling speciality of solving dicey problems, the paper brings forward the forecasting methods based on cloud models and design the predicition model of ammunition expense based on cloud models. The methods are applied on the prediction of training ammunition expense. A example of the predicition of training ammunition expense is given, whose result shows that the method is scientific and effective.
Keywords:cloud models  ammunition expense  predicition
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