| 基于马尔可夫过程船舶电力系统可靠性仿真分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 林少芬,江小霞,陈子凯,郑文杰.基于马尔可夫过程船舶电力系统可靠性仿真分析[J].中国造船,2011,52(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 林少芬 江小霞 陈子凯 郑文杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 集美大学轮机工程学院,厦门,361021 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省科技重大专项，科技部重大专项 |
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| 摘 要： | 船舶可靠性至关重要,该文采用马尔可夫过程,从接近实际情况出发,建立有别于以往的船舶发电系统的容量模型;从概率论出发,利用MATLAB,选择合适的模拟方法,模拟出电力负荷概率分布曲线,快速地建立负荷模型.创新性地应用电力不足概率法(LOLP)于船舶电力系统中,结合容量模型与负荷模型,得出船舶发电系统可靠性指标,为船舶发电机组的容量、台数以及预防性维修提供参考,有助于完善能量管理系统(PMS)功能,提高电力系统安全与经济运行水平.
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶发电系统 电力负荷 可靠性评估 充裕度 |
Analysis of Reliability Simulation for Marine Power System Based on Markov Process |
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| LIN Shaofen,JIANG Xiaoxia,CHEN Zikai,ZHENG Wenjie.Analysis of Reliability Simulation for Marine Power System Based on Markov Process[J].Shipbuilding of China,2011,52(2). |
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| Authors: | LIN Shaofen JIANG Xiaoxia CHEN Zikai ZHENG Wenjie |
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| Institution: | LIN Shaofen,JIANG Xiaoxia,CHEN Zikai,ZHENG Wenjie(Marine Engineering College,Jimei University,Xiamen 361021,China) |
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| Abstract: | Reliability is essential to ship and is researched in this paper.A capacity model of power generation system reflecting the nature of practical situations is established.Markov Process is adopted and appropriate simulation method is selected to simulate the probability distribution curve of power load,with MATLAB being used.By applying the method of loss of load probability(LOLP) innovatively in the ship power system and combining with capacity model and load model,the reliable index of power generation sys... |
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| Keywords: | power generation system of ship power load reliability evaluation adequacy |
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