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引用本文:王作功,贾元华,徐丽营.�ҹ��շѸ��ٹ�·Ͷ�ʷ��������о�[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2006,6(4):90-94.
作者姓名:王作功  贾元华  徐丽营
作者单位:?????????? ????????????о?????????100044
摘    要:针对我国收费高速公路风险评估中存在的问题,分析了我国高速公路投资风险的特点,在建立收费高速公路投资单风险估计模型和风险评估指标体系的基础上,综合运用层次分析方法和模糊综合评价方法,建立了高速公路投资风险的模糊综合评枯模型,并将该模型运用于京沈高速公路天津段等的风险评估,并进行了相应的比较。

关 键 词:???????·  ????????????  ?????????  ??η?????  ??????????  
文章编号:1009-6744(2006)04-0090-05
收稿时间:02 20 2006 12:00AM
修稿时间:2006年2月20日

Study on Venture Evaluation of Toll Freeway Investment
WANG Zuo-gong,JIA Yuan-hua,XU Li-ying.Study on Venture Evaluation of Toll Freeway Investment[J].Transportation Systems Engineering and Information,2006,6(4):90-94.
Authors:WANG Zuo-gong  JIA Yuan-hua  XU Li-ying
Institution:Institute of Systems Engineering and control, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044??China
Abstract:Aiming at the problems in venture evaluation of toll expressway, we analyze the characters of the investment venture on the expressway in China. Basing on the standalone risk evaluation model of toll expressway investment and the index system of venture evaluation that we have built and using The Analytical Hierarchy Process and The Fuzzy Synthetic Evaluation Method, we built up a Fuzzy Synthetic Evaluation model of expressway investment venture Then, it was applied to evaluate Tianjin section of the expressway connecting Beijing and Shenyang., and make some comparisons.
Keywords:toll expressway  standalone risk evaluation model  fuzzy synthetic model  the analytical hierarchy process method  venture evaluation
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