包海通道西安至安康高速铁路运输需求分析

研究国家高速铁路网包海通道西安至安康高速铁路的运输需求,可为本线主要技术标准、运输组织和建设方案的确定提供决策依据。首先通过旅客运输径路比较分析,确定本线主要承担我国蒙西、陕北、山西、北京、东北地区、关中地区与陕南、西南、广西、海南等地的旅客交流,兼顾陕南重镇安康等与关中城市群、陕北地区的城际客流,其次基于"四阶段法"基本原理,对区域铁路客运量进行分配预测,并按照趋势运量、转移运量、诱增运量进一步分析本线客流密度,最后研究本线客流构成、所在通道的综合交通方式结构,并综合确定本线客车开行方案。

Research on Transportation Demand of Xi'an-Ankang High Speed Railway on Baotou-Haikou Railway Corridor

The study of the traffic demand of Xi'an-Ankang High Speed Railway on Baotou-Haikou Railway Corridor in Chinese High Speed Railway Network can provide a basis for determining major technical standards, transportation organization and construction strategy. Firstly, through comparative analysis of the passenger path, the conclusion is drawn that the railway mainly undertakes the passenger interflow between Western Inner Mongolia, Northern Shaanxi, Shanxi, Beijing, Northeast and Southern Shaanxi, Southwest, Guangxi, Hainan and other places, assisting inter-city passenger interflow between Ankang and other parts of Shaanxi. Secondly, based on the principle of "four-stage method", regional railway passenger traffic volume is predicted and assigned, and the traffic density of the route is analyzed further according to the trend traffic volume, transfer traffic volume and induced traffic volume. Finally, the passenger flow composition of the railway and the passage traffic structure are studied and the train running schedules are determined comprehensively.