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公路隧道穿越断层塌方预测多级模糊综合评判
引用本文:刘学增,包浩杉,米东阳.公路隧道穿越断层塌方预测多级模糊综合评判[J].现代隧道技术,2011(6):65-71.
作者姓名:刘学增  包浩杉  米东阳
作者单位:1. 同济大学土木信息技术教育部工程研究中心,上海,200092
2. 同济大学地下建筑与工程系,上海20092
3. 山西省交通科学研究院,太原,030006
基金项目:交通部科技项目(编号:2008 318 494 50)
摘    要:针对隧道穿越断层破碎带施工中塌方事故的预测,文章较系统地总结了隧道穿越断层中塌方事故的影响因素,并确定了主要影响因素;然后根据因素的层次性、模糊性,引入多级模糊评判方法、层次分析方法(AHP)等理论,建立了断层塌方预测的二级模糊综合评判模型和方法,以及指标权重及隶属函数的确定方法;通过工程实例对评判模型进行了验证分析,结果与实际情况较为吻合,说明隧道穿越断层破碎带塌方预测的多级模糊综合评判指标体系是有效的.

关 键 词:断层  塌方预测  影响因素  评判模型  隶属函数

Method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for the Collapse of Tunnels Affected by Faults
Liu Xuezeng , Bao Haoshan , Mi Dongyang.Method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for the Collapse of Tunnels Affected by Faults[J].Modern Tunnelling Technology,2011(6):65-71.
Authors:Liu Xuezeng  Bao Haoshan  Mi Dongyang
Institution:Liu Xuezeng1 Bao Haoshan2 Mi Dongyang3(1 Civil Information Technology Engineering Center of Ministry of Education,Shanghai 200092,China,2 Civil Engineering College,Tongji University,3 Shanxi Provincial Research Institute of Communications,Shanxi 030006,China)
Abstract:To predict collapses caused by faults,the main contributing factors were selected by carefully analyzing all the influencing factors involved in the collapse of tunnels.In order to analyze the relationship between the influencing factors and fuzzification of collapse,a model of two-stage fuzzy synthetic judgment was established to classify the collapsing risk by using fuzzy mathematics and AHP theory,especially concerning how to achieve target weight and memberships.Finally,a tunnel construction was evaluat...
Keywords:Faults  Collapse prediction  Influencing factors  Scoring model  Membership function  
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