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基于双层K近邻算法的短时交通流预测
引用本文:侯晓宇,吴萌,李要娜.基于双层K近邻算法的短时交通流预测[J].交通标准化,2014(7):1-5,9.
作者姓名:侯晓宇  吴萌  李要娜
作者单位:北京四通智能交通系统集成有限公司;
基金项目:国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(2011AA110302)
摘    要:双层K近邻算法在K近邻算法的基础上,增加了模式匹配步骤,从而提高了K近邻算法的预测精度.鉴于此,利用双层K近邻算法,对北京市微波检测器数据进行分析,进而标定算法的最优参数.同时定义了预测算法的滞后性,并将双层K近邻算法与自适应预测算法的滞后性进行了对比,从预测精度及滞后性两方面验证了双层K近邻算法的适用性.

关 键 词:双层K近邻算法  短时预测  滞后性  交通流  状态向量

Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Two-Tier K Nearest Neighbor Algorithm
HOU Xiao-yu,WU Meng,LI Yao-na.Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Two-Tier K Nearest Neighbor Algorithm[J].Communications Standardization,2014(7):1-5,9.
Authors:HOU Xiao-yu  WU Meng  LI Yao-na
Institution:(Beijing STONE Intelligent Transportation System Integration Co., Ltd., Beijing 100081, China)
Abstract:Based on traditional K nearest neighbor algorithm, Two-Tier K nearest neighbor algorithm adds the pattern matching step to improve the prediction accuracy of K nearest neighbor algorithm. Given this, the paper uses Two-Tier K nearest neighbor algorithm to analyze microwave detector data of Beijing and calibrate the algorithm parameters. Meanwhile, it defines the lag of prediction algorithm, and contra- sts the prediction lag of Two-Tier K nearest neighbor algorithm and self-adaptive filtering method to veri- fy the applicability of Two-Tier K nearest neighbor algorithm from aspects of prediction accuracy and lag.
Keywords:Two-Tier K nearest neighbor algorithm  short-term forecast  lag  traffic flow  state vector
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