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引用本文:丁松滨,石荣,施和平.����֤�����۵ĺ��չ�˾��ȫϵͳ��������[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2007,7(2):77-82.
作者姓名:丁松滨  石荣  施和平
作者单位:1.?й????ú???????????о??? ??? 300300??2.?й????ú??????????????, ???? 361006
摘    要:针对航空公司安全系统风险评价中存在的不确定性因素,将证据理论引入航空公司安全系统的风险评价中,以解决评价过程中所遇到的不确定性问题,建立了航空公司安全系统风险评价指标体系,给出了基于证据理论的评价模型和算法,通过实例计算,验证了该方法能较好地解决航空公司安全系统风险评价过程中所遇到的不确定性问题。

关 键 词:???????  ???????  ??????  ????????  
文章编号:24308617
收稿时间:2006-10-29
修稿时间:10 29 2006 12:00AM

Airline Safety System Risk Assessment based on Evidence Theory
DING Song-bin,SHI Rong,SHI He-ping.Airline Safety System Risk Assessment based on Evidence Theory[J].Transportation Systems Engineering and Information,2007,7(2):77-82.
Authors:DING Song-bin  SHI Rong  SHI He-ping
Institution:1. Research Institute of Unmanned Aircraft,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin,300300,China; 2.Xiamen Air Traffic Management Station of CAAC; Xiamen 361006, Fujian, China
Abstract:Risk assessment to airline company safety system is an effective measure that insures safety running of an airline company.In the assessment,there are lots of uncertain factors affecting the safety of an airline company.For solving the problem of uncertainty in airline company's safety system risk assessment,it brings evidence theory to the assessment.In this paper,an indicator system of airline company safety system risk assessment has been established.An arithmetic and a model of airline company safety system risk assessment based on evidence theory have also been developed.Finally,an example shows that the method can effectively solve the problem of uncertainty in airline company safety system risk assessment.
Keywords:evidence theory  uncertainty  airline company  risk assessment
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