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单桩承载力预测的PSO-Gompertz模型研究
引用本文:杜勇立.单桩承载力预测的PSO-Gompertz模型研究[J].中南公路工程,2012(5):87-91.
作者姓名:杜勇立
作者单位:[1]中南大学土木建筑学院,湖南长沙410075 [2]湖南省交通规划勘察设计院,湖南长沙410008 [3]中南公路建设及养护技术湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙410008.
摘    要:在对桩的荷载传递规律进行分析的基础上,运用生物生长观点将Gompertz函数模型用于单桩极限荷载的预测中,给出模型参数估计的粒子群(PSO)方法,并在实例分析的基础上将PSO—Gompcrtz模型与常用预测模型进行了对比。结果表踢:在桩顶静荷载作用下,单桩承载力的发展经历了发生、发展、成熟并趋于饱和的生长过程;桩的荷载Q-沉降5曲线可用logistic函数描述;提出的PSO—Gompertz模型比双曲线模型、指数模型有更高的预测精度。

关 键 词:管桩  极限承载力  预测  Gompertz  粒子群

The PSO-Gompertz Model Study for Single Pile Capacity Prediction
DU Yongli.The PSO-Gompertz Model Study for Single Pile Capacity Prediction[J].Central South Highway Engineering,2012(5):87-91.
Authors:DU Yongli
Institution:DU Yongli(1. School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410075, China; 2. Hunan Provincial Communications Planning, Survey & Design Institute, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China; 3. Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Highway Construction and Maintenance Tech- nology in Southern China, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China)
Abstract:According to the biological growth law, the Gompertz function model was used to the forecast of single-pile ultimate load after the load transmission mechanism of piles was analyzed, the Par- ticle Swarm Optimization for parameter estimation of the model was provided, the prediction effects of PSO-Gompertz model and double common forecast models were compared with each other based on case- study. The results show that the growth process of pile bearing capacity usually experience the stages of begin, development, maturity and saturation; the load-settlement (Q-s) curve of piles under static load can be described by the Gompertz function; PSO-Gompertz model works better than the hyperbola and in- dex ones in the forecast of single-pile ultimate load.
Keywords:tubular pile  ultimate bearing capacity  forecast  Gompertz  Particle Swarm Optimization
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