Hybrid- and battery-electric vehicles offer low-cost climate benefits in China |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Graduate School of the Open University of Japan, 1-15-2-1008 Sugamo, Toshima-ku, Tokyo 170-0002, Japan;2. Department of Built Environment, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Nagatsuta-cho, Midori-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 226-8503, Japan;1. China Automotive Technology & Research Center, No.68 East Xianfeng Road, Dongli District, Tianjin 300300, China;2. Systems Assessment Group, Energy Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, 9700 South Cass Avenue, Argonne, IL 60439, USA;3. State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, No.18 Shuangqing road, Haidian District, Beijing 100085, China;4. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, No.80 East Zhongguancun Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100190, China;1. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, China;2. Research Center of Industrial Transfer and Innovation Development, Hefei University of Technology, China;3. Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore;4. UNiLAB on Integrated Systems Analysis Tools, Singapore;5. International Society for Energy Transition Studies, Australia;1. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy, Transport and Climate, Sustainable Transport Unit, via Fermi 2749, 21027, Ispra, Italy;2. University of Applied Sciences Trier, Environmental Campus Birkenfeld, Environmental Planning and Technology Department, P.O. Box 1380, 55761, Birkenfeld, Germany |
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| Abstract: | Car ownership in China is expected to grow dramatically in the coming decades. If growing personal vehicle demand is met with conventional cars, the increase in greenhouse gas emissions will be substantial. One way to mitigate carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from passenger travel is to meet growing demand for cars with alternative vehicles such as hybrid- and battery-electric vehicles (HEVs and BEVs). Our study examines the cost-effectiveness of transitioning from conventional cars to HEVs and BEVs, by calculating their marginal abatement cost (MAC) of carbon in the long-run. We find that transitioning from conventional to hybrid and battery electric light-duty, four-wheel vehicles can achieve carbon emissions reductions at a negative cost (i.e. at a net benefit) in China. In 2030, the average MAC is estimated to be about −$140/ton CO2 for HEVs and −$515/ton CO2-saved for BEVs, varying by key parameters. The total mitigation potential of each vehicle technology is estimated to be 1.38 million tons for HEVs and 0.75 million tons for BEVs. |
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| Keywords: | Electric vehicles Marginal abatement cost of carbon China Clean transportation |
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