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Changes concerning commute traffic distribution on a road network following the occurrence of a natural disaster – The example of a flood in the Mazovian Voivodeship (Eastern Poland)
Institution:1. Institute of the Built Environment and Spatial Policy, University of Łódź, Łódź, Poland, 90-142 Łódź, Kopcińskiego St. 31, Poland;2. Graduate of the Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Łódź, Łódź, Poland;1. Louvain School of Management, Place de Doyens 1 bte L2.01.01, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;2. CORE & Louvain School of Management, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;1. Department of Civil, Structural & Environmental Engineering, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland;2. Atmospheric Modelling and Support Section, California Air Resources Board, USA;3. Global Centre for Clean Air Research, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Physical Sciences (FEPS), University of Surrey, Guildford GU2 7XH, United Kingdom;1. Pontifical University of Minas Gerais, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Av. Dom José Gaspar 500, 30535-901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil;2. Anhanguera Universitary Center, Av. Industrial, 3330, 09080-511 Santo André, SP, Brazil;3. Federal University of Minas Gerais, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Av. Pres. Antônio Carlos, 6627, 31270-901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil;4. Birmingham City University, School of Engineering and the Built Environment, Millennium Point, Curzon St, Birmingham B4 7XG, UK;1. MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China;2. College of Science and Technology, Texas Southern University, Houston, TX 77004, USA
Abstract:The purpose of this article is to determine the size and spatial structure of changes in traffic density within the regional road network following an occurrence of a flood in the Mazovian Voivodeship, Poland. The use of the application developed for the purpose of this article – offers a possibility to react accordingly when there are non-typical obstructions (here: a flood). On the basis of the conducted study, it has been stated that the greatest changes in vehicle traffic density (the analysis of commute traffic) regard the capital of Mazovian Voivodeship, which – first of all – stems from the fact that it is Warsaw that the largest number of employees commute to. Secondly, it is influenced by the location of the capital city in relation to the river system. In the case of the analysed voivodeship and in ‘normal’ circumstances (no flood), commuting to work remains approximately within the 160-min isochrone. In the second variant, this time would extend nearly eightfold, and in the remaining scenarios fivefold. As far as ‘normal’ circumstances (no flood) and commuting in the Mazovian Voivodeship are concerned, the greatest load refers in particular to the following road classes: main road of accelerated traffic, main road and cumulative road. In this case, express and motorways play a marginal role. On the other hand, in the remaining scenarios, the importance of the class of main road of accelerated traffic decreases at the expense of the classes of main road and cumulative road.
Keywords:Natural disasters  Flood  Traffic density  Mazovian Voivodeship  Poland  GIS
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